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787
result(s)
December 13, 2007
Central Bank Performance under Inflation Targeting
Gosselin examines and reports on the various factors that contribute to successful inflation targeting. Using a panel of 21 inflation-targeting countries over the period 1990Q1-2007Q2, Gosselin finds that the ability of central banks to hit their targets varies considerably. Some of these differences can be explained by exchange rate fluctuations, fiscal deficits, and differences in financial development. Others are explained by differences in the targeting framework itself and the manner in which it is implemented.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
December 10, 2007
Inflation Targeting, Price-Level Targeting, and Fluctuations in Canada's Terms of Trade
Coletti and Lalonde compare inflation targeting and price-level targeting in the context of a small open economy subject to sizable terms-of-trade shocks. The authors summarize recent research that compares the ability of price-level targeting and inflation targeting to stabilize the macroeconomy when confronted with shocks similar to those experienced by Canada in recent years. Their preliminary results suggest that price-level targeting may represent a feasible alternative to traditional inflation targeting. Their article also provides insight into the direction of current research in this area at the Bank.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
The Impact of Emerging Asia on Commodity Prices
Staff Working Paper 2007-55
Sylvie Morin,
Calista Cheung
Over the past 5 years, real energy and non-energy commodity prices have trended sharply higher. These relative price movements have had important implications for inflation and economic activity in both Canada and the rest of the world. China has accounted for the bulk of incremental demand for oil and many base metals over this period.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
F,
F4,
O,
O1,
O19,
Q,
Q1,
Q11
October 14, 2007
The Effect of China on Global Prices
The dramatic growth in China's exports of consumer goods such as clothing, toys, and electronics, and imports of primary commodities such as oil and metals is having major effects on global supply and demand. In examining China's role in global relative price changes, Francis finds that downward pressure on the relative prices of consumer goods is likely to persist as China's large labour supply continues its migration into manufacturing. Likewise, China's size and growth will also remain key drivers of global commodities demand for some time. Despite these forces, inflation-targeting central banks have the tools to keep inflation close to target, thus offsetting any persistent upward or downward inflationary pressure.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
International topics,
Recent economic and financial developments
October 12, 2007
Bank of Canada Workshop on Derivatives Markets in Canada and Beyond
At this 2006 workshop hosted by the Bank of Canada, an international group of market participants, regulators, and policy-makers gathered to assess recent developments in the derivatives market. Among the topics discussed were the recent prodigious growth in risk-transfer instruments, including credit derivatives and inflation-linked derivatives, as well as the accompanying challenges and benefits. Overall, the development of derivatives markets was seen as providing broad economic benefits, including more complete financial markets, improved market liquidity, and increased capacity of the financial system to effectively price and bear risk. Yet concern was also voiced that market participants do not fully understand the risks that arise in trading credit derivatives.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
October 10, 2007
The Canadian Journey: An Odyssey into the Complex World of Bank Note Production
For many years, the Bank of Canada successfully responded to occasional eruptions in counterfeiting by improving the security features on bank notes. The surge in counterfeiting that occurred while the Bank prepared to launch the Canadian Journey series, however, reflected increasingly rapid advances in computer technology that were changing the counterfeiting environment. The article describes these and other challenges that affected the new series and describes how the Bank developed a comprehensive new approach to its currency program and incorporated the valuable lessons it learned from these challenges. Designed to combat counterfeiting and meet the needs of the public, the new strategy includes increased research and development on new bank note security features, an intensified focus on retailer and public education, and a focus on law enforcement.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Central bank research
The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)
Technical Report No. 98
René Lalonde,
Dirk Muir
The Bank of Canada's version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM) is derived from the model created at the International Monetary Fund by Douglas Laxton (IMF) and Paolo Pesenti (Federal Reserve Bank of New York and National Bureau of Economic Research).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F47
Implications of Asymmetry Risk for Portfolio Analysis and Asset Pricing
Staff Working Paper 2007-47
Fousseni Chabi-Yo,
Dietmar Leisen,
Eric Renault
Asymmetric shocks are common in markets; securities' payoffs are not normally distributed and exhibit skewness. This paper studies the portfolio holdings of heterogeneous agents with preferences over mean, variance and skewness, and derives equilibrium prices.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C52,
D,
D5,
D58,
G,
G1,
G11,
G12
Multilateral Adjustment and Exchange Rate Dynamics: The Case of Three Commodity Currencies
Staff Working Paper 2007-41
Jeannine Bailliu,
Ali Dib,
Takashi Kano,
Lawrence L. Schembri
In this paper, we empirically investigate whether multilateral adjustment to large U.S. external imbalances can help explain movements in the bilateral exchange rates of three commodity currencies – the Australian, Canadian and New Zealand (ACNZ) dollars.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C11,
C2,
C22,
F,
F3,
F31,
F32