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449
result(s)
Financial Intermediaries and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a High-Frequency Identification
Staff Working Paper 2022-24
Pablo Ottonello,
Wenting Song
We provide empirical evidence of effects to the aggregate economy from surprises about financial intermediaries’ net worth based on a high-frequency identification strategy. We estimate that news of a 1% decline in intermediaries’ net worth leads to a 0.2%–0.4% decrease in the market value of nonfinancial firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E51,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G12,
G2,
G21,
G23,
G24,
G3,
G32
Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2022-21
Ming Zeng,
Guihai Zhao
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G12
More Than Words: Fed Chairs’ Communication During Congressional Testimonies
Staff Working Paper 2022-20
Michelle Alexopoulos,
Xinfen Han,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Xu Zhang
We measure soft information contained in the congressional testimonies of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairs and analyze its effect on financial markets. Increases in the Chair’s text-, voice-, or face-emotion indices during these testimonies generally raise stock prices and lower their volatility.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Financial markets,
Monetary policy communications
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E58,
E7,
E71
Historical Data on Repurchase Agreements from the Canadian Depository for Securities
Technical Report No. 121
Maxim Ralchenko,
Adrian Walton
We develop an algorithm that extracts information about sale and repurchase agreements (repos) from disaggregated settlement data in order to generate a new historical dataset for research.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C55,
C8,
C81,
G,
G1,
G10
Vertical Bargaining and Obfuscation
Staff Working Paper 2022-13
Edona Reshidi
Is obscuring prices always bad for consumers? The answer depends on the market structure and on the negotiating power between manufacturers and retailers.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C7,
C70,
L,
L1,
L13,
L4,
L42
Central Bank Liquidity Facilities and Market Making
Staff Working Paper 2022-9
David Cimon,
Adrian Walton
We create a theoretical model of central bank asset purchases. The model helps explain how, in a crisis, these purchases ease pressures on investment dealers.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20,
L,
L1,
L10
The Financial Origins of Non-fundamental Risk
Staff Working Paper 2022-4
Sushant Acharya,
Keshav Dogra,
Sanjay Singh
We explore the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk to the rest of the economy. We also consider whether policy can be used to reduce this risk—either by increasing the supply of publicly backed safe assets or by reducing the demand for safe assets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
D,
D5,
D52,
D8,
D84,
E,
E6,
E62,
G,
G1,
G10,
G12
Systemic Risk and Portfolio Diversification: Evidence from the Futures Market
Staff Working Paper 2021-50
Radoslav Raykov
This paper explores how the Canadian futures market contributed to banks’ systemic risk during the 2008 financial crisis. It finds that core banks as a whole traded against the periphery, in this way increasing their risk of simultaneous losses.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20
Foreign Exchange Fixings and Returns Around the Clock
Staff Working Paper 2021-48
Ingomar Krohn,
Philippe Mueller,
Paul Whelan
We document a new empirical finding in the foreign exchange market: currency returns show systematic reversals around the benchmark fixings. Specifically, the US dollar, on average, appreciates in the hours before fixes and depreciates after fixes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15