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282
result(s)
On the Wedge Between the PPI and CPI Inflation Indicators
Staff Working Paper 2022-5
Shang-Jin Wei,
Yinxi Xie
We find that the CPI and PPI inflation indexes co-moved strongly throughout the late 20th century, but their correlation has fallen substantially since the early 2000s. We offer a structural explanation for this divergence based on the growth of global supply chains since 2000. This finding offers a unique perspective for the future design of optimal monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
International topics,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
E58,
F,
F1,
F11,
F12,
F4,
F41,
F6,
F62
Firm Inattention and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy: A Text-Based Approach
Staff Working Paper 2022-3
Wenting Song,
Samuel Stern
How much attention do firms pay to macroeconomic news? Through a novel text-based measure, two facts emerge. First, attention is polarized. Most firms either never or always pay attention to economic conditions. Second, it is countercyclical. During recessions, more firms pay attention, and firms pay greater attention to macroeconomic news.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
What to Target? Insights from a Lab Experiment
Staff Working Paper 2021-53
Isabelle Salle
In a laboratory experiment, we ask participants to predict inflation using three different policy regimes: inflation targeting—with and without greater communication of the target—average inflation targeting and price level targeting. We use participants’ predictions to compare the level and stability of inflation under each regime.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy communications,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
C92,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
E7
What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data
Staff Working Paper 2021-52
Alberto Cavallo,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov
Did supply disruptions and cost pressures play a role in rising inflation in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic? Using data collected from websites of large retailers in multiple sectors and countries, we show that shortages may indicate transitory inflationary pressures.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D22,
E,
E3,
E31,
E37
More Money for Some: The Redistributive Effects of Open Market Operations
Staff Working Paper 2021-46
Christian Bustamante
I use a search-theoretic model of money to study how open market operations affect the conduct of monetary policy and what this means for households along the wealth distribution. In the model, households vary in the size and composition of their portfolios, which in turn implies that they may be unevenly affected by open market operations.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52
The Bank of Canada’s “Horse Race” of Alternative Monetary Policy Frameworks: Some Interim Results from Model Simulations
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-13
José Dorich,
Rhys R. Mendes,
Yang Zhang
Bank of Canada staff are running a “horse race” of alternative monetary policy frameworks in the lead-up to 2021 renewal of the Bank’s monetary policy framework. This paper summarizes some interim results of model simulations from their research.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58
Exploring the potential benefits of inflation overshooting
Staff Analytical Note 2021-16
Robert Amano,
Marc-André Gosselin,
Kurt See
After a period with the interest rate at the effective lower bound, temporarily overshooting inflation may offer important economic benefits. This may be especially true for vulnerable segments of the population, such as workers with low attachment to the labour force and the long-term unemployed.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
J,
J2,
J20
Monetary Policy, Trends in Real Interest Rates and Depressed Demand
Staff Working Paper 2021-27
Paul Beaudry,
Césaire Meh
Over the last few decades, real interest rates have trended downward. The most common explanation is that this reflects depressed demand due to demographic, technological and other real factors. We explore the claim that these trends may have been amplified by certain features of monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Economic models,
Fiscal policy,
Inflation and prices,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E4,
E43,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E62,
E63,
H,
H3,
H6,
H63
Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies
Staff Working Paper 2021-21
Josef Schroth
Optimal coordination of monetary and macroprudential policies implies higher risk weights on (safe) bonds any time that banks are required to hold additional capital buffers. Coordination also implies a somewhat tighter monetary-policy stance whenever such capital buffers are released.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E6,
E60,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28