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282
result(s)
The Implications of Transmission and Information Lags for the Stabilization Bias and Optimal Delegation
Staff Working Paper 2004-37
Jean-Paul Lam,
Florian Pelgrin
In two recent papers, Jensen (2002) and Walsh (2003), using a hybrid New Keynesian model, demonstrate that a regime that targets either nominal income growth or the change in the output gap can effectively replicate the outcome under commitment and hence reduce the size of the stabilization bias.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E58,
E6,
E62
Optimal Taylor Rules in an Estimated Model of a Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2004-36
Steve Ambler,
Ali Dib,
Nooman Rebei
The authors compute welfare-maximizing Taylor rules in a dynamic general-equilibrium model of a small open economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F2,
F3,
F31,
F33
The U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Empirical Assessment
Staff Working Paper 2004-35
Alain Guay,
Florian Pelgrin
The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C13,
C5,
C52,
E,
E3,
E31
The New Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve: An Assessment of Competing Specifications for the United States
Staff Working Paper 2004-31
David Dupuis
Inflation forecasting is fundamental to monetary policy. In practice, however, economists are faced with competing goals: accuracy and theoretical consistency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31
Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation
Staff Working Paper 2004-21
Jeannine Bailliu,
Eiji Fujii
This paper investigates the question of whether a transition to a low-inflation environment, induced by a shift in monetary policy, results in a decline in the degree of pass-through of exchange rate movements to consumer prices.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E4,
E42,
F,
F3,
F31
May 22, 2004
Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Industrialized Countries
Economists' long-standing interest in the degree to which exchange rate movements are reflected in prices was rekindled in the 1970s by a combination of rising inflation and the adoption of more flexible exchange rate regimes in many industrialized countries. Specifically, there were concerns that a large currency depreciation could degenerate into an inflationary spiral. Such fears were curtailed in the 1980s and early 1990s as industrialized countries began to reduce and stabilize their inflation rates. The low-inflation period most industrialized countries entered approximately a decade ago coincided with significant exchange rate depreciations that had much smaller effects on consumer prices than expected. This led to a belief that the extent to which exchange rate movements are passed through to consumer prices has declined. In this article, the authors examine why pass-through could be incomplete and review empirical estimates to determine whether pass-through has indeed declined, suggesting possible reasons for this decline and discussing the implications for monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
Estimating New Keynesian Phillips Curves Using Exact Methods
Staff Working Paper 2004-11
Lynda Khalaf,
Maral Kichian
The authors use simple new finite-sample methods to test the empirical relevance of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) equation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C13,
C5,
C52,
E,
E3,
E31
A Structural Small Open-Economy Model for Canada
Staff Working Paper 2004-4
Stephen Murchison,
Andrew Rennison,
Zhenhua Zhu
The authors develop a small open-economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium (DSGE) model in an attempt to understand the dynamic relationships in Canadian macroeconomic data.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E3,
E5,
E52
December 23, 2003
The Comparative Growth of Goods and Services Prices
For several decades, the prices of services have been rising more rapidly than the prices of goods in Canada and the other major industrialized countries. In 2002, this gap between the growth rates of these two components of the consumer price index (CPI) widened considerably, leading researchers to ask if this was the beginning of a trend. Analysis reveals, however, that the gap is based on short-term dynamics and that it appears to be independent of the trend in the development of the overall price level. Evidence also shows that the gap is eventually reabsorbed. The authors examine a number of potential causes for the prices of services to rise faster than those of goods. These include the more rapid pace of productivity growth in the goods sector, the greater openness of goods to foreign trade, and stronger growth in the demand for services.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
International topics,
Productivity