June 11, 2006
Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.
Receive notification by email whenever new research is added to the website.
282
result(s)
June 2, 2006
Another Look at the Inflation-Target Horizon
The conduct of monetary policy within an inflation-targeting framework requires the establishment of an inflation-target horizon, which is the average time it takes inflation to return to the target. Policy-makers have an interest in communicating this horizon, since it is likely to help anchor inflation expectations. This article focuses on the determination of the appropriate policy horizon by reporting on two recent Bank of Canada studies. The evidence suggests that the current target horizon of six to eight quarters remains appropriate. It is important to note that the duration of the optimal inflation-target horizon varies widely, depending on the combination of shocks to the economy. In rare cases when the financial accelerator is triggered by a persistent shock, such as an asset-price bubble, it may be appropriate to take a longer view of the inflation-target horizon.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
April 15, 2006
Issues in Inflation Targeting: A Summary of the Bank of Canada Conference Held 28-29 April 2005
The Bank of Canada's 2005 conference focused on two critical issues: price-level targets versus inflation targets, and the appropriate level of inflation. Session topics included new methodological approaches to examining the validity of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for Canada; the monetary policy implications of border effects and the financial-accelerator model; the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; and inflation and welfare in general-equilibrium macroeconomic models. A panel of invited speakers discussed the issues of each session, and two distinguished speakers gave their perspectives on inflation.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
The Welfare Implications of Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting in a Two-Sector, Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2006-12
Eva Ortega,
Nooman Rebei
The authors analyze the welfare implications of simple monetary policy rules in the context of an estimated model of a small open economy for Canada with traded and non-traded goods, and with sticky prices and wages.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
An Evaluation of Core Inflation Measures
Staff Working Paper 2006-10
Jamie Armour
The author provides a statistical evaluation of various measures of core inflation for Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31
December 22, 2005
70 Years of Central Banking: The Bank of Canada in an International Context, 1935–2005
Bordo and Redish examine the evolution of central banking over the past 70 years and identify periods where Canada was either a notable innovator with regard to central banking practices or appeared to be following a slightly different course. They note that global forces seemed to play an important role in determining inflation outcomes throughout the 70-year period, and that Canada and the United States experienced roughly similar inflation rates despite some important differences in their monetary policy regimes. Canada, for example, was comparatively late in establishing a central bank, launching the Bank of Canada long after most other industrial countries had one. Canada also operated under a flexible exchange rate through much of the Bretton Woods period, unlike any other country in the 1950s and early 1960s; adopted inflation targets well before most other central banks; and introduced a number of other innovative changes with regard to the implementation of monetary policy in the 1990s.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
Forecasting Core Inflation in Canada: Should We Forecast the Aggregate or the Components?
Staff Working Paper 2005-44
Frédérick Demers,
Annie De Champlain
The authors investigate the behaviour of core inflation in Canada to analyze three key issues: (i) homogeneity in the response of various price indexes to demand or real exchange rate shocks relative to the response of aggregate core inflation; (ii) whether using disaggregate data helps to improve the forecast of core inflation; and (iii) whether using monthly data helps to improve quarterly forecasts.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
E,
E3,
E37
The 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program in Retrospect
Staff Working Paper 2005-43
John Sargent
The author provides an overview of the 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program (AIP), in a background document prepared for a seminar organized by the Bank of Canada to mark the AIP's 30th anniversary.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credibility,
Fiscal policy,
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E63,
E64,
E65
Measurement Bias in the Canadian Consumer Price Index
Staff Working Paper 2005-39
James Rossiter
The consumer price index (CPI) is the most commonly used measure of inflation in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52
The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting
Staff Working Paper 2005-34
Christopher Ragan
The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E50,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41