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2380
result(s)
CANVAS: A Canadian Behavioral Agent-Based Model
Staff Working Paper 2022-51
Cars Hommes,
Mario He,
Sebastian Poledna,
Melissa Siqueira,
Yang Zhang
The Bank of Canada’s current suite of models faces challenges in addressing network effects that integrate household and firm-level heterogeneity and their behaviours. We develop CANVAS, a Canadian behavioural agent-based model to contribute to the Bank’s next-generation modelling effort. CANVAS improves forecasting performance and expands capacity for model-based scenario analysis.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
Firm dynamics,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
D,
D2,
D22,
D8,
D83,
E,
E1,
E17
Potential benefits and key risks of fiat-referenced cryptoassets
Staff Analytical Note 2022-20
Hugh Ding,
Natasha Khan,
Bena Lands,
Cameron MacDonald,
Laura Zhao
Cryptoassets that reference a national currency (commonly known as stablecoins) aim to peg their value to the reference currency and typically use a reserve of traditional financial assets to maintain the peg. The market value of these fiat-referenced cryptoassets has grown more than thirtyfold between early 2020 and mid-2022. We explore some of their potential benefits and key risks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
G,
G2,
G28,
L,
O,
O3
The Relative Benefits and Risks of Stablecoins as a Means of Payment: A Case Study Perspective
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-21
Annetta Ho,
Sriram Darbha,
Yuliya Gorelkina,
Alejandro García
Our paper contributes to the discussion about the utility of stablecoins for retail payments through an objective, evidence-based approach that compares stablecoins with traditional retail payment methods. The paper also provides insights that could be useful in the design of central bank digital currencies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
D,
D7,
D78,
O,
O3,
O38
Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics
Staff Working Paper 2022-50
Martin Harding,
Jesper Lindé,
Mathias Trabandt
We propose a macroeconomic model with a nonlinear Phillips curve that has a flat slope when inflationary pressures are subdued and steepens when inflationary pressures are elevated. Our model can generate more sizable inflation surges due to cost-push and demand shocks than a standard linearized model when inflation is high.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Inflation: costs and benefits,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E30,
E31,
E32,
E37,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
Monetary Policy, Credit Constraints and SME Employment
Staff Working Paper 2022-49
Julien Champagne,
Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant
We revisit an old question: how do financial constraints affect the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy? To answer this question, we propose a simple empirical strategy that combines firm-level employment and balance sheet data, identified monetary policy shocks and survey data on financing activities.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Firm dynamics,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E3,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52,
G,
G3
Regulatory Requirements of Banks and Arbitrage in the Post-Crisis Federal Funds Market
Staff Working Paper 2022-48
Rodney J. Garratt,
Sofia Priazhkina
This paper explains the nature of interest rates in the U.S. federal funds market after the 2007-09 financial crisis. We build a model of the over-the-counter lending market that incorporates new aspects of the financial system: abundance of liquidity, different regulatory standards for banks, and arbitrage opportunities created by limited access to the facility granting interest on excess reserves.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Wholesale funding
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G28
Stablecoins and Their Risks to Financial Stability
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-20
Cameron MacDonald,
Laura Zhao
What risks could stablecoins pose to the financial system? We argue that the stabilization mechanisms of stablecoins give rise to the risk of confidence runs, which can propagate to broader cryptoasset markets and the traditional financial sector. We also argue that stablecoins can contribute to financial stability risks by facilitating the buildup of leverage and liquidity mismatch in decentralized finance. Such risks cannot be addressed by ensuring the price stability of stablecoins alone. Finally, we explore the potential implications of stablecoins for the current system of bank-intermediated credit and for monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E44,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G23
Variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments: Examining trigger rates
Staff Analytical Note 2022-19
Stephen Murchison,
Maria teNyenhuis
We estimate the share of variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments that reached the so-called trigger rate—the interest rate at which mortgage payments no longer cover the principal. Amid rising interest rates, this share was close to 50% at the end of October 2022 and could potentially reach 65% in 2023.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Interest rates,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E4,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21
Are Working Hours Complements in Production?
Staff Working Paper 2022-47
Lin Shao,
Faisal Sohail,
Emircan Yurdagul
Using Canadian matched employer-employee data, we show that working hours of different workers are gross complements in production rather than perfect substitutes, as is typically assumed by macroeconomic models of production.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E23,
J,
J2,
J22,
J23,
J3,
J31