November 16, 2017
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458
result(s)
Digitalization and Inflation: A Review of the Literature
Staff Analytical Note 2017-20
Karyne B. Charbonneau,
Alexa Evans,
Subrata Sarker,
Lena Suchanek
In the past few years, many have postulated that the possible disinflationary effects of digitalization could explain the subdued inflation in advanced economies. In this note, we review the evidence found in the literature. We look at three main channels.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D22,
E,
E3,
E31,
L,
L8,
L81,
O,
O3,
O33
Measuring Limits of Arbitrage in Fixed-Income Markets
Staff Working Paper 2017-44
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Guillaume Nolin
We use relative value to measure limits to arbitrage in fixed-income markets. Relative value captures apparent deviations from no-arbitrage relationships. It is simple, intuitive and can be computed model-free for any bond.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12
Do Canadian Broker-Dealers Act as Agents or Principals in Bond Trading?
Staff Analytical Note 2017-11
Daniel Hyun,
Jesse Johal,
Corey Garriott
Technology, risk tolerance and regulation may influence dealers to reduce their trading as principals (using their own balance sheets for sales and purchases of securities) in favour of agency trading (matching client trades).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G20,
L,
L1
Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol?
Staff Working Paper 2017-35
Christiane Baumeister,
Reinhard Ellwanger,
Lutz Kilian
It is commonly believed that the response of the price of corn ethanol (and hence of the price of corn) to shifts in biofuel policies operates in part through market expectations and shifts in storage demand, yet to date it has proved difficult to measure these expectations and to empirically evaluate this view.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
Q,
Q1,
Q18,
Q2,
Q28,
Q4,
Q42,
Q5,
Q58
Has Liquidity in Canadian Government Bond Markets Deteriorated?
Staff Analytical Note 2017-10
Sermin Gungor,
Jun Yang
This note presents measures of liquidity used by the Bank of Canada to monitor market conditions and discusses recent trends in Government of Canada (GoC) fixed-income market liquidity. Our results indicate that the Bank’s measures have improved since the financial crisis. Furthermore, GoC market liquidity deteriorated following several stressful events: the euro crisis in 2011, the taper tantrum in 2013 and the oil price shock in 2015. In all three cases, the deterioration remained within historical norms and liquidity returned to normal levels afterwards.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14
How to Predict Financial Stress? An Assessment of Markov Switching Models
Staff Working Paper 2017-32
Benjamin Klaus,
Thibaut Duprey
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a transition to a tranquil state.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C54,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G15
Quantitative Easing and Long‐Term Yields in Small Open Economies
Staff Working Paper 2017-26
Antonio Diez de los Rios,
Maral Shamloo
We compare the Federal Reserve’s asset purchase programs with those implemented by the Bank of England and the Swedish Riksbank, and the Swiss National Bank’s reserve expansion program.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G1,
G12
What Explains Month-End Funding Pressure in Canada?
Staff Discussion Paper 2017-9
Christopher S. Sutherland
The Canadian overnight repo market persistently shows signs of latent funding pressure around month-end periods. Both the overnight repo rate and Bank of Canada liquidity provision tend to rise in these windows. This paper proposes three non-mutually exclusive hypotheses to explain this phenomenon.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E43,
E5,
E52,
E58,
F,
F3,
F36,
G,
G1,
G14,
G15,
G2,
G21
June 8, 2017
Using Market-Based Indicators to Assess Banking System Resilience
This report reviews the use of quantitative tools to gauge market participants’ assessment of banking system resilience. These measures complement traditional balance-sheet metrics and suggest that markets consider large Canadian banks to be better placed to weather adverse shocks than banks in other advanced economies. Compared with regulatory capital ratios, however, the measures suggest less improvement in banking system resilience since the pre-crisis period.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Financial System Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G21