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385
result(s)
Alternative Futures for Government of Canada Debt Management
Staff Discussion Paper 2018-15
Corey Garriott,
Sophie Lefebvre,
Guillaume Nolin,
Francisco Rivadeneyra,
Adrian Walton
This paper presents four blue-sky ideas for lowering the cost of the Government of Canada’s debt without increasing the debt’s risk profile. We argue that each idea would improve the secondary-market liquidity of government debt, thereby increasing the demand for government bonds and thus lowering their cost at issuance.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G2,
G24,
H,
H6,
H63
The Impact of Surprising Monetary Policy Announcements on Exchange Rate Volatility
Staff Analytical Note 2018-39
Adam Albogatchiev,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Jabir Sandhu,
Reginald Xie
We identify a few Bank of Canada press releases that had the largest immediate impact on the exchange rate market. We find that volatility increases after these releases, but the effect is short-lived and mostly dissipates after the first hour, on average. Beyond the first hour, the size of the effect is similar to what we observe for other economic releases, such as those for inflation or economic growth data.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G10,
G12,
G14,
G15
Does US or Canadian Macro News Drive Canadian Bond Yields?
Staff Analytical Note 2018-38
Bruno Feunou,
Rodrigo Sekkel,
Morvan Nongni-Donfack
We show that a large share of low-frequency (quarterly) movements in Canadian government bond yields can be explained by macroeconomic news, even though high-frequency (daily) changes are driven by other shocks. Furthermore, we show that US macro news—not domestic news— explains most of the quarterly variation in Canadian bond yields.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
International topics,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
E,
E4,
E43
Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Corporate Bond Market Deteriorated?
Staff Analytical Note 2018-31
Chen Fan,
Sermin Gungor,
Guillaume Nolin,
Jun Yang
Since 2010, the liquidity of corporate bonds has improved on average, while their trading activity has remained stable. We find that the liquidity and trading activity of riskier bonds or bonds issued by firms in different sectors have been stable. However, the liquidity and trading activity of bonds issued by banks have improved. We observe short-lived episodes of deterioration in liquidity and trading activity.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14
Financial Development Beyond the Formal Financial Market
Staff Working Paper 2018-49
Lin Shao
This paper studies the effects of financial development, taking into account both formal and informal financing. Using cross-country firm-level data, we document that informal financing is utilized more by rich countries than poor countries.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Firm dynamics,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
O,
O1,
O17,
O4,
O47
Government of Canada Fixed-Income Market Ecology
Staff Discussion Paper 2018-10
Léanne Berger-Soucy,
Corey Garriott,
André Usche
This discussion paper is the third in the Financial Markets Department’s series on the structure of Canadian financial markets. These papers are called “ecologies” because they study the interactions among market participants, infrastructures, regulations and the terms of the traded contract itself.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20,
H,
H6,
H63
Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Provincial Bond Market Deteriorated?
Staff Analytical Note 2018-30
Chen Fan,
Sermin Gungor,
Guillaume Nolin,
Jun Yang
In recent years, the liquidity in the secondary market for Canadian provincial bonds was a concern for many market participants. We find that a proxy for the bid-ask spread has deteriorated modestly since 2010. However, a proxy for price impact as well as measures of trade size, the number of trades and turnover have been stable or improved since 2010. This holds for bonds issued by different provinces and for bonds of different ages and sizes. Alberta bonds provide an interesting case study: After the fall in oil prices in 2014–15, the province increased its borrowing in the bond market and its credit rating was downgraded. Yet trading activity for Alberta bonds increased significantly. Overall, we interpret the evidence as a sign of resilience in the provincial bond market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14
Blockchain-Based Settlement for Asset Trading
Staff Working Paper 2018-45
Jonathan Chiu,
Thorsten Koeppl
Can securities be settled on a blockchain and, if so, what are the gains relative to existing settlement systems? We consider a blockchain that ensures delivery versus payment by linking transfers of assets with payments and operates using a proof-of-work protocol. The main benefit of a blockchain is faster and more flexible settlement, whereas the challenge is to avoid settlement fails when participants fork the chain to get rid of trading losses.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
H,
H4,
P,
P4,
P43
The Impact of Government Debt Supply on Bond Market Liquidity: An Empirical Analysis of the Canadian Market
Staff Working Paper 2018-35
Jeffrey Gao,
Jianjian Jin,
Jacob Thompson
This paper finds that Government of Canada benchmark bonds tend to be more illiquid over the subsequent month when there is a large increase in government debt supply. The result is both statistically and economically significant, stronger for the long-term than the short-term sector, and is robust when other macro factors are controlled for.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Debt management,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
D,
D5,
D53,
G,
G1,
G12,
G18,
G2,
G3,
G32