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2378
result(s)
Should Central Banks Worry About Nonlinearities of their Large-Scale Macroeconomic Models?
Staff Working Paper 2017-21
Vadym Lepetyuk,
Lilia Maliar,
Serguei Maliar
How wrong could policymakers be when using linearized solutions to their macroeconomic models instead of nonlinear global solutions?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C61,
C63,
C68,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52
Volatility Risk and Economic Welfare
Staff Working Paper 2017-20
Shaofeng Xu
This paper examines the effects of time-varying volatility on welfare. I construct a tractable endogenous growth model with recursive preferences, stochastic volatility, and capital
adjustment costs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E3
May 25, 2017
Project Jasper: Are Distributed Wholesale Payment Systems Feasible Yet?
Financial System Review - June 2017
James Chapman,
Rodney J. Garratt,
Scott Hendry,
Andrew McCormack,
Wade McMahon
This report describes a joint endeavour between public and private sectors to explore a wholesale payment system based on distributed ledger technology (DLT). They find that a stand-alone DLT system is unlikely to be as beneficial as a centralized payment system in terms of core operating costs; however, it could increase financial system efficiency as a result of integration with the broader financial market infrastructure.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Financial System Review articles
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G28
Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns
Staff Working Paper 2017-19
Claudia Foroni,
Francesco Ravazzolo,
Barbara Sadaba
Increased sovereign credit risk is often associated with sharp currency movements. Therefore, expectations of the probability of a sovereign default event can convey important information regarding future movements of exchange rates.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C52,
C53,
F,
F3,
F31
The Welfare Effects of Protection: A General Equilibrium Analysis of Canada’s National Policy
Staff Working Paper 2017-18
Patrick Alexander,
Ian Keay
In this paper, we study the impact of Canada’s adoption of protectionist trade policy in 1879 on Canadian welfare. Under the National Policy the Canadian average weighted tariff increased from 14% to 21%. The conventional view is that this was a distortionary policy that negatively affected Canadian welfare.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
International topics,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F13,
F14,
F4,
F42,
F6,
F60,
N,
N7,
N71
Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns
Staff Discussion Paper 2017-7
Philippe Muller,
Jérôme Bourque
The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of investment counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve and asset managers have relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source for credit assessments.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Foreign reserves management
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G2,
G24,
G28,
G3,
G32
Multilateral Development Bank Credit Rating Methodology: Overcoming the Challenges in Assessing Relative Credit Risk in Highly Rated Institutions Based on Public Data
Staff Discussion Paper 2017-6
David Xiao Chen,
Philippe Muller,
Hawa Wagué
The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve managers and other investors have relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source for credit assessments.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Foreign reserves management
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G2,
G24,
G28,
G3,
G32
May 11, 2017
The Digital Economy
Digital technologies—cloud computing, the Internet of Things, advanced robotics, big data analytics, artificial intelligence and machine learning, social media, 3D printing, augmented reality, virtual reality, e-money and distributed ledgers—are transforming the way busi-nesses operate. How does this transformation compare with past industrial revolutions? How are digital technologies changing production systems across industries? Agile firms that use knowledge intensively and have high levels of both organizational and human capital appear set to realize the greatest benefits from digitalization. Finally, what are the implications for productivity, labour markets, inflation and monetary policy as we transition to the digital economy?
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
Monetary policy,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D24,
L,
L1,
L10,
O,
O1,
O3,
O33
May 11, 2017
Unconventional Monetary Policy: The Perspective of a Small Open Economy
How do unconventional monetary policies like quantitative easing and negative interest rates affect domestic financial conditions and the broader economy in small open econo-mies, such as Canada? These policies are effective in depreciating the exchange rate in small open economies, while lower interest rates are also passed through to the economy, albeit only partially. When conventional monetary policy is close to its limits, fiscal policy may be a more important complement to monetary policy in a small economy, particularly if global demand for safe assets compresses long-term interest rates.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Interest rates,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E58,
E6,
E61,
E65