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2378
result(s)
Characterizing Breadth in Canadian Economic Activity
Staff Analytical Note 2020-1
Taylor Webley,
Carla Valerio,
Maureen MacIsaac
Real growth in gross domestic product tends to be meaningfully higher when a large share of industries and demand components are growing—that is, when growth is broad across many fronts.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32
Managing GDP Tail Risk
Staff Working Paper 2020-3
Thibaut Duprey,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G0,
G01
Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound
Staff Working Paper 2020-2
Jasmina Arifovic,
Alex Grimaud,
Isabelle Salle,
Gauthier Vermandel
This research develops a model in which the economy is directly influenced by how pessimistic or optimistic economic agents are about the future. The agents may hold different views and update them as new economic data become available.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Credibility,
Economic models,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy communications
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C82,
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52
Contagion in Dealer Networks
Staff Working Paper 2020-1
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Adrian Walton
Dealers connect investors who want to buy or sell securities in financial markets. Over time, dealers and investors form trading networks to save time and resources. An emerging field
of research investigates how networks form.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
G,
G1,
G2,
G21,
L,
L1,
L14
Monetary Policy and Government Debt Dynamics Without Commitment
Staff Working Paper 2019-52
Dmitry Matveev
I show that maturity considerations affect the optimal conduct of monetary and fiscal policy during a period of government debt reduction. I consider a New Keynesian model and study a dynamic game of monetary and fiscal policy authorities without commitment, characterizing the incentives that drive the choice of interest rate.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Fiscal policy,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E62,
E63
Technology Adoption in Input-Output Networks
Staff Working Paper 2019-51
Xintong Han,
Lei Xu
We study how input-output networks affect the speed of technology adoption. In particular, we model the decision to adopt the programming language Python 3 by software packages. Python 3 provides advanced features but is not backward compatible with Python 2, which implies it comes with adoption costs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Firm dynamics,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C61,
L,
L2,
L23,
L8,
L86,
O,
O1,
O14,
O3,
O33
Monetary Payoff and Utility Function in Adaptive Learning Models
Staff Working Paper 2019-50
Erhao Xie
When players repeatedly face an identical or similar game (e.g., coordination game, technology adoption game, or product choice game), they may learn through experience to perform better in the future. This learning behaviour has important economic implications.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C57,
C7,
C72,
C9,
C92
Creations and Redemptions in Fixed-Income Exchange-Traded Funds: A Shift from Bonds to Cash
Staff Analytical Note 2019-34
Rohan Arora,
Sébastien Betermier,
Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc,
Adriano Palumbo,
Ryan Shotlander
The creation and redemption activity of fixed-income exchange-traded funds listed in the United States has shifted. Funds of established issuers have traditionally exchanged their shares for baskets of bonds. In contrast, young funds managed by new issuers tend to create and redeem their shares almost exclusively in cash. Cash transactions imply that new funds are taking on exposure to liquidity risk. This has implications for financial stability.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2,
G20,
G23
On the Evolution of Multiple Jobholding in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2019-49
Olena Kostyshyna,
Etienne Lalé
The number of workers who hold more than one job (a.k.a. multiple jobholders) has increased recently in Canada. While this seems to echo the view that non-standard work arrangements are becoming pervasive, the increase has in fact been trivial compared with the long-run rise of multiple jobholding that has occurred since the mid-1970s.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
J,
J2,
J21,
J22,
J6,
J60