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2378
result(s)
Shaping the future: Policy shocks and the GDP growth distribution
Staff Working Paper 2021-24
Francois-Michel Boire,
Thibaut Duprey,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Can central bank and government policies impact the risks around the outlook for GDP growth? We find that fiscal stimulus makes strong GDP growth more likely—even more so when monetary policy is constrained—rather than weak GDP growth less likely. Thus, fiscal stimulus should accelerate the recovery phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Fiscal policy,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C53,
E,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E62
Overlooking the online world: Does mismeasurement of the digital economy explain the productivity slowdown?
Staff Analytical Note 2021-10
Alejandra Bellatin,
Stephanie Houle
Since the mid-2000s, labour productivity has slowed down in Canada despite enormous technological advances that were expected to improve it. This note investigates whether mismeasurement of the digital economy can explain this paradox.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E01,
L,
L8,
L86,
O,
O3,
O33,
O4,
O5,
O51
Detecting exuberance in house prices across Canadian cities
Staff Analytical Note 2021-9
Ugochi Emenogu,
Cars Hommes,
Mikael Khan
We introduce a model to detect periods of extrapolative house price expectations across Canadian cities. The House Price Exuberance Indicator can be updated on a quarterly basis to support the Bank of Canada’s broader assessment of housing market imbalances.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Housing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
R,
R2,
R21,
R3,
R31
An Empirical Analysis of Bill Payment Choices
Staff Working Paper 2021-23
Anneke Kosse
How do Canadians pay their bills? 2019 survey data collected from over 4,000 Canadian consumers show how people’s bill payment choices vary with consumer characteristics and types of bills. The data also reveal that many consumers feel limited in their choices, which suggests that preferences of billers might play an important role as well.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial services,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D9,
G,
G2
Evolving Temperature Dynamics in Canada: Preliminary Evidence Based on 60 Years of Data
Staff Working Paper 2021-22
Robert Amano,
Marc-André Gosselin,
Julien McDonald-Guimond
Are summers getting hotter? Do daily temperatures change more than they used to? Using daily Canadian temperature data from 1960 to 2020 and modern econometric methods, we provide economists and policy-makers evidence on the important climate change issue of evolving temperatures.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
COVID-19’s impact on the financial health of Canadian businesses: An initial assessment
Staff Analytical Note 2021-8
Timothy Grieder,
Mikael Khan,
Juan Ortega,
Callie Symmers
Despite COVID-19 challenges, bold policy measures in Canada have helped businesses manage cash flow pressures and kept insolvency filings low. But the impact of the pandemic has been uneven, and the financial health of some firms may further deteriorate over the next year.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Firm dynamics,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
G,
G3,
G31,
G32,
G33,
G38
Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies
Staff Working Paper 2021-21
Josef Schroth
Optimal coordination of monetary and macroprudential policies implies higher risk weights on (safe) bonds any time that banks are required to hold additional capital buffers. Coordination also implies a somewhat tighter monetary-policy stance whenever such capital buffers are released.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E6,
E60,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28
Behaviour in the Canadian large-value payment system: COVID-19 vs. the global financial crisis
Staff Analytical Note 2021-7
Alexander Chaudhry,
Anneke Kosse,
Karen Sondergard
Unlike the 2008–09 global financial crisis, the onset of the COVID-19 crisis did not raise stress levels in Canada’s Large Value Transfer System. Swift changes to the Bank of Canada’s collateral policy and its large-scale asset purchase programs likely eased liquidity pressures in the system.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E51,
E58,
E6,
E65
Four Decades of Canadian Earnings Inequality and Dynamics Across Workers and Firms
Staff Working Paper 2021-20
Audra Bowlus,
Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant,
Huju Liu,
Lance Lochner,
Youngmin Park
We use four decades of Canadian matched employer-employee data to explore how inequality and the dynamics of individual earnings have evolved over time in Canada. We also examine how the earnings growth of individuals is related to the growth of their employers.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Firm dynamics,
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D22,
D3,
D31,
E,
E2,
E24,
J,
J2,
J24,
J3,
J31,
J6,
J63