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2371
result(s)
Tracking Canadian Trend Productivity: A Dynamic Factor Model with Markov Switching
Staff Discussion Paper 2007-12
Michael Dolega
The author attempts to track Canadian labour productivity over the past four decades using a multivariate dynamic factor model that, in addition to the labour productivity series, includes aggregate compensation and consumption information. Productivity is assumed to switch between two regimes (the high-growth state and the low-growth state) with different trend growth rates according to […]
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
O,
O4,
O5,
O51
Expenditure-Switching Effect and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime
Staff Working Paper 2007-54
Wei Dong
The author investigates the quantitative importance of the expenditure-switching effect by developing and estimating a structural sticky-price model nesting both producer currency pricing (PCP) and local currency pricing (LCP) settings.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F4
Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach
Staff Working Paper 2007-53
Antonio Diez de los Rios,
Enrique Sentana
Nowadays researchers can choose the sampling frequency of exchange rates and interest rates.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15
Where Does Price Discovery Occur in FX Markets?
Staff Working Paper 2007-52
Chris D'Souza
Trades in foreign exchange markets are initiated around the world and around the clock. This study illustrates that trades are more informative when initiated in a local country or in major foreign exchange centers like London and New York.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15
Price-Level Targeting and Stabilization Policy: A Review
Staff Discussion Paper 2007-11
Steve Ambler
The author surveys recent articles on the costs and benefits of price-level targeting versus inflation targeting, focusing on the benefits and costs of price-level targeting as a tool for stabilization policy. He reviews papers that examine how price-level targeting affects the short-run trade-off between output and inflation variability by influencing expectations of future inflation. The […]
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
October 15, 2007
The Global Foreign Exchange Market: Growth and Transformation
Barker examines changes in the foreign exchange market, which is in a period of transition. Since the mid-1990s, three closely inter-related and mutually reinforcing factors–electronic trading platforms, a changing mix of market participants, and computer-driven algorithmic trading strategies–have been accelerating market growth and are creating a profound structural transformation. As the balance of market participation shifts between bank and non-bank accounts, large and small participants, and domestic and global players, the market is adopting some of the characteristics of an "exchange" model and is arguably becoming more liquid and operationally efficient.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
October 14, 2007
The Effect of China on Global Prices
The dramatic growth in China's exports of consumer goods such as clothing, toys, and electronics, and imports of primary commodities such as oil and metals is having major effects on global supply and demand. In examining China's role in global relative price changes, Francis finds that downward pressure on the relative prices of consumer goods is likely to persist as China's large labour supply continues its migration into manufacturing. Likewise, China's size and growth will also remain key drivers of global commodities demand for some time. Despite these forces, inflation-targeting central banks have the tools to keep inflation close to target, thus offsetting any persistent upward or downward inflationary pressure.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
International topics,
Recent economic and financial developments
October 13, 2007
Estimating the Cost of Equity for Canadian and U.S. Firms
Financing costs are important for both firms and the economy, affecting investment decisions and, ultimately, economic growth. Despite concern among policy-makers that the cost of equity financing may be higher in Canada than in the United States, empirical evidence supporting this view is mixed. Yet Canadian firms may not undertake as many projects that could potentially enhance growth if the cost of equity financing in Canada is relatively high. The article summarizes research by Jonathan Witmer and Lorie Zorn on the influences on the cost of equity in Canada and the United States, using an updated methodology that controls for firm characteristics and aggregate-level factors. In their sample, the cost of equity was 30–50 basis points higher in Canada over 1988 to 2006 but appears to have dropped in the post-1997 period. The results have policy implications related to such factors as firm size, disclosure, and securities regulation and enforcement.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
International topics
October 12, 2007
Bank of Canada Workshop on Derivatives Markets in Canada and Beyond
At this 2006 workshop hosted by the Bank of Canada, an international group of market participants, regulators, and policy-makers gathered to assess recent developments in the derivatives market. Among the topics discussed were the recent prodigious growth in risk-transfer instruments, including credit derivatives and inflation-linked derivatives, as well as the accompanying challenges and benefits. Overall, the development of derivatives markets was seen as providing broad economic benefits, including more complete financial markets, improved market liquidity, and increased capacity of the financial system to effectively price and bear risk. Yet concern was also voiced that market participants do not fully understand the risks that arise in trading credit derivatives.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies