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1901
result(s)
The reliance of Canadians on credit card debt as a predictor of financial stress
Staff Analytical Note 2024-18
Jia Qi Xiao
I analyze the relationship between carrying a credit card balance and future financial stress. I find that carrying a balance significantly increases the likelihood that credit card holders miss future debt payments. This likelihood tends to rise as credit card balances grow and are held for long periods.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Interest rates,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E4,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21
Could all-to-all trading improve liquidity in the Government of Canada bond market?
Staff Analytical Note 2024-17
Jabir Sandhu,
Rishi Vala
We find that on any given day, nearly half of Government of Canada bond transactions by clients of dealers can be offset with other clients, including during the turmoil in March 2020. Our results show that under certain conditions clients could potentially trade directly with each other and are a step towards understanding the relevance of broader all-to-all trading in the Government of Canada bond market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D47,
D5,
D53,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G12,
G13,
G14,
G2,
G21,
G23
The Ecology of Automated Market Makers
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-12
Annetta Ho,
Cosmin Cazan,
Andrew Schrumm
This paper describes the ecology of automated market makers, which are the most popular decentralized exchange model for the pricing and trading of crypto assets within decentralized finance.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2
The Role of Public Money in the Digital Age
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-11
Francisco Rivadeneyra,
Scott Hendry,
Alejandro García
A well-functioning monetary system is characterized by public and private forms of money that exchange at par as value flows freely between them. A relevant retail public money—whether in the form of cash, a central bank digital currency or both—is a necessary component of such a monetary system.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E50,
E58
Untapped Potential: Mobile Device Ownership and Mobile Payments in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2024-25
Marie-Hélène Felt,
Angelika Welte,
Katrina Talavera
We present a two-stage model of mobile phone and mobile payment usage that controls for selectivity. This reveals unobserved factors that work against having a mobile phone and toward mobile paying. Therefore, people who are unable to acquire or choose not to own a mobile device might have unmet payment needs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C39,
D,
D1,
D12,
E,
E4,
E42
Analysis of DeFi Oracles
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-10
Xun Deng,
Sidi Mohamed Beillahi,
Cyrus Minwalla,
Han Du,
Andreas Veneris,
Fan Long
Oracles are constructs used in decentralized finance to price assets relative to each other. However, oracles contain defects that could lead to manipulation attacks. Such attacks exploit pricing models embedded within oracles to defraud creators and users. We automatically verify defects, which if mitigated, improves the security of digital currency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E51,
G,
G1,
G15,
O,
O3,
O31
Deriving Longer-Term Inflation Expectations and Inflation Risk Premium Measures for Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-9
Bruno Feunou,
Zabi Tarshi
We present two models for long-term inflation expectations and inflation risk premiums for Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C58,
E,
E4,
E43,
E47,
G,
G1,
G12
2023 Methods-of-Payment Survey Report: The Resilience of Cash
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-8
Christopher Henry,
Matthew Shimoda,
Doina Rusu
We present key results from the 2023 Methods-of-Payment Survey. Results show that measures of cash management and use have remained stable since 2020, and that Canadians increased their adoption of payment alternatives such as mobile apps in 2023.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
E,
E4,
E41
The Output-Inflation Trade-off in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2024-7
Stefano Gnocchi,
Fanny McKellips,
Rodrigo Sekkel,
Laure Simon,
Yinxi Xie,
Yang Zhang
We explain how the Bank of Canada’s policy models capture the trade-off between output and inflation in Canada. We provide new estimates of the trade-off and contrast them with those in the Bank’s macroeconomic models.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52