Research

High-quality, innovative research underpins everything we do. Explore the broad range of staff research that our people have the intellectual freedom to pursue, and learn about the ways in which the Bank collaborates with and supports the external research community.

You can also browse all our research and subscribe to our research newsletter and latest research feed.

Staff research

Staff research is produced independently from the Bank’s Governing Council. This research may support or challenge prevailing policy orthodoxy or differ from official Bank views. Therefore, views expressed are solely those of the authors, and no responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank.

Staff analytical notes

Staff analytical notes are short articles that focus on topical issues relevant to the current economic and financial context.

Staff working papers

Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.

Staff discussion papers

Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.

Technical reports

Technical reports provide detailed descriptions of staff research project methodologies and model development.

Research leadership

Profiles of the Bank’s economic research leadership, featuring their publications, education, and research fields.

Research staff

Profiles of the Bank’s research staff, featuring their publications, education and research fields.

Authors

Listing of current and past authors of Bank research papers, articles and other publications, 1994 to present.


Collaboration

Financial System Research Centre

The FSRC promotes financial system research in Canada to inform policy and improve the economic and financial well-being of Canadians.

Visiting Scholar Program

This program provides outstanding scholars with an opportunity to work at the Bank of Canada.

Conferences and workshops

Papers and proceedings from Bank of Canada conferences and workshops

Partnerships in Innovation and Technology (PIVOT) Program

We’re looking for innovators to help us respond to challenges that may not have a commercial solution readily available.


Awards

Research paper awards

At the Bank of Canada, we’re pleased to offer awards for research papers by students and by staff.

Scholarship awards

The Bank of Canada’s Scholarship and Work Placement program is designed to assist students with disabilities and Indigenous students in furthering their education and to encourage them to take an interest in the work performed by the Bank of Canada.

Fellowship Program

Learn more about a program to foster excellence in research in Canada and develop partnerships with experts outside the Bank of Canada in areas important to the Bank’s mandate.

The Governor's Challenge

The Governor’s Challenge simulates the monetary policy decision-making process by putting students in the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.


Browse research

Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.

Research newsletters

Our newsletter summarizes internal and external publication contributions by Bank of Canada researchers.

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Latest research

Breaking Down the US Employment Multiplier Using Micro­-Level Data

We construct a new dataset of unanticipated contracts and examine their effects on employment growth. We find positive, significant and persistent effects on firms with fewer than 150 employees and estimate a cost-per­job that is an order of magnitude lower than previous estimates.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Fiscal policy JEL Code(s): E, E6, E62

Markups, Pass-Through, and Firm Heterogeneity with Sequentially Mixed Search

Staff Working Paper 2025-7 Alex Chernoff, Allen Head, Beverly Lapham
Market power and pass-through of cost and demand shocks are studied in a market with free entry of heterogeneous firms and consumer mixed search. Equilibrium prices and markups are driven by variation in the elasticity of demand across firms. Improved conditions for buyers can either raise or lower market power.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Service sector JEL Code(s): D, D2, D21, D4, D43, E, E3, E31, L, L1, L11

Effects of macroprudential policy announcements on perceptions of systemic risks

We introduce a history of macroprudential policy (MPP) events in Canada since the 1980s. We document the short-run effects of MPP announcements on market-based measures of systemic risk and find that MPPs can influence the market’s perception of large banks’ resilience.

Exploring the drivers of the real term premium in Canada

Staff Analytical Note 2025-3 Zabi Tarshi, Gitanjali Kumar
Changes in the term premium can reflect uncertainty about inflation, growth and monetary policy. Understanding the key factors that influence the term premium is important when central banks make decisions about monetary policy. In this paper, we derive the real term premium from the nominal term premium in Canada.

Monetary policy, interest rates and the Canadian dollar

Changes in domestic interest rates affect the value of the Canadian dollar less than changes in the risk premium do. These variations often occur when a broad shift in risk sentiment occurs in global markets. Ultimately, the value of the currency reflects long-term, slow-moving features of the economies.

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