Sharon Kozicki - Latest

• Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation

  Staff Working Paper 2007-19 Sharon Kozicki, P. A. Tinsley

  This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an effective inflation target of roughly 7 percent in the 1970s.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E3, E5, N, N1

• Survey-Based Estimates of the Term Structure of Expected U.S. Inflation

  Staff Working Paper 2006-46 Sharon Kozicki, P. A. Tinsley

  Surveys provide direct information on expectations, but only short histories are available at quarterly frequencies or for long-horizon expectations.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E3, E5