Kevin Moran - Latest
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Inflation Expectations and Learning about Monetary Policy
Various measures indicate that inflation expectations evolve sluggishly relative to actual inflation. In addition, they often fail conventional tests of unbiasedness. -
Estimated DGE Models and Forecasting Accuracy: A Preliminary Investigation with Canadian Data
This paper applies the hybrid dynamic general-equilibrium, vector autoregressive (DGE-VAR) model developed by Ireland (1999) to Canadian time series. -
December 17, 2000
Dynamic General-Equilibrium Models and Why the Bank of Canada is Interested in Them
Dynamic general-equilibrium models (DGEMs) are being increasingly used in macroeconomic research. In this article, the author describes the main features of these models and outlines their contribution to economic research performed at the Bank of Canada. He notes that the basic principle of DGEMs is that the modelling of economic activity, even on a scale as large as the economy of a country, should start with a series of microeconomic problems (at the scale of individuals), which, once resolved, are aggregated to represent the macroeconomic reality described by the model.
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