Posts

• Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-4 Kyle Boutilier, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Eshini Ekanayake, Louis Poirier, Peter Shannon, Akash Uppal, Lin Xiang

  We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, E4, E5, F, F0, O, O4

• Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2022 reassessment

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-3 Guyllaume Faucher, Christopher Hajzler, Martin Kuncl, Dmitry Matveev, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin

  We expect potential output growth to be lower in 2021 than anticipated in the April 2021 assessment. By 2025, growth is expected to reach 2.3%. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate increased slightly to lie in the range of 2.00% to 3.00%.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Economic models, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5

• Benchmarks for assessing labour market health

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-2 Erik Ens, Corinne Luu, Kurt See, Shu Lin Wee

  We propose a range of benchmarks for assessing labour market strength for monetary policy. This work builds on a previous framework that considers how diverse and segmented the labour market is. We apply these benchmarks to the Canadian labour market and find that it has more than recovered from the COVID-19 shock.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Econometric and statistical methods, Labour markets, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, J, J2, J21, J6
• April 13, 2022

  Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement

  Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
• April 13, 2022

  Understanding our policy interest rate

  At the heart of the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy is the target for the overnight rate. See what it is—and what it means for you.

  Content Type(s): Explainers Topic(s): Monetary policy
• April 13, 2022

  Bank of Canada provides operational details for quantitative tightening and announces that it will continue to implement monetary policy using a floor system

  As announced on April 13, 2022, the Bank of Canada is ending the reinvestment phase of its asset purchase program and beginning quantitative tightening (QT).

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program
• April 13, 2022

  Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 50 basis points, begins quantitative tightening

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 1%, with the Bank Rate at 1¼% and the deposit rate at 1%.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• April 13, 2022

  Monetary Policy Report – April 2022

  

  Canadian economic activity remains strong, and employment is robust. The Bank is forecasting growth of about 4¼% in 2022, easing to 3¼% in 2023.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
• April 13, 2022

  TVA Nouvelles

  

  Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada
  Interview with TVA Nouvelles

  Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
• April 13, 2022

  Bloomberg News

  

  Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada
  Interview with Bloomberg News

  Content Type(s): Press, Media activities