January 22, 2004
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January 22, 2004
Release of the Monetary Policy Report Update
Three developments have led us to modify our outlook for economic growth and inflation in Canada, since our October Monetary Policy Report. These include: stronger-than-expected world economic activity, the continued sharp depreciation of the U.S. dollar against major world currencies (including the Canadian dollar), and a somewhat larger output gap in Canada at the end of 2003. -
January 20, 2004
Bank of Canada lowers target for the overnight rate by 1/4 percentage point to 2 1/2 per cent
Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 2 1/2 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is correspondingly lowered, and the Bank Rate is now 2 3/4 per cent. -
January 16, 2004
Bank of Canada Announces Adviser Appointment
The Bank of Canada today announced the appointment of Pierre Godin to the position of adviser. The appointment is for an 18-month period; Mr. Godin will be joining the Bank in mid-March. -
January 15, 2004
Canada's new $100 bank note to be unveiled on 28 January 2004
Canada’s new $100 bank note will be unveiled on Wednesday, 28 January 2004, in Halifax. The first high denomination note in the Canadian Journey series will be unveiled by the Honourable John Efford, Minister of Natural Resources Canada, and David Dodge, Governor of the Bank of Canada. -
Exact Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy with an Application to the Term Structure of Interest Rates
The author proposes a class of exact tests of the null hypothesis of exchangeable forecast errors and, hence, of the hypothesis of no difference in the unconditional accuracy of two competing forecasts. -
The Effect of Adjustment Costs and Organizational Change on Productivity in Canada: Evidence from Aggregate Data
A basic neoclassical model of production is often used to assess the contribution of investment to output growth. In the model, investment raises the capital stock and output growth increases in proportion to the growth in capital. -
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December 23, 2003
The Comparative Growth of Goods and Services Prices
For several decades, the prices of services have been rising more rapidly than the prices of goods in Canada and the other major industrialized countries. In 2002, this gap between the growth rates of these two components of the consumer price index (CPI) widened considerably, leading researchers to ask if this was the beginning of a trend. Analysis reveals, however, that the gap is based on short-term dynamics and that it appears to be independent of the trend in the development of the overall price level. Evidence also shows that the gap is eventually reabsorbed. The authors examine a number of potential causes for the prices of services to rise faster than those of goods. These include the more rapid pace of productivity growth in the goods sector, the greater openness of goods to foreign trade, and stronger growth in the demand for services. -
December 23, 2003
Financial System Review - December 2003
This section of the Financial System Review examines the recent performance of the Canadian financial system and the factors, both domestic and international, that are influencing it.