January 15, 2024
Posts
-
-
January 11, 2024
GMF publishes the final framework on a fee for failing to settle GoC securities transactions
The Government of Canada Market Functioning Steering Group (GMF) published today the final framework on a fee for failing to settle Government of Canada (GoC) bond and bill transactions. -
Extreme Weather and Low-Income Household Finance: Evidence from Payday Loans
This paper explores the impact of extreme weather exposures on the financial outcomes of low-income households. Our findings highlight the heightened financial vulnerability of low-income households to environmental shocks and underscore the need for targeted policies. -
Modelling Canadian mortgage debt and payments in a semi-structural model
We show how Canadian mortgage debt dynamics can be modelled in a semi-structural macroeconomic model, such as the Bank of Canada’s LENS. The model we propose accounts for Canada’s unique mortgage debt structure. -
January 3, 2024
Bank of Canada conducts Overnight Repo operation
The Bank of Canada today conducted an Overnight Repo (OR) operation, which is a regular tool that is part of the Bank’s standard operating framework for implementing monetary policy. -
December 31, 2023
Quarterly Research Update – 2023 Q4
This newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. -
Procyclicality in Central Counterparty Margin Models: A Conceptual Tool Kit and the Key Parameters
Regulators need to provide effective procyclicality guidance, and central counterparties must design and calibrate their margin systems and procyclicality frameworks appropriately. To serve these needs, we provide a novel conceptual tool kit. Further, we highlight that the focus should be on the key margin system parameters in determining procyclicality. -
Communicating Inflation Uncertainty and Household Expectations
We examine the value of direct communication to households about inflation and the uncertainty around inflation statistics. All types of information about inflation are effective at immediately managing inflation expectations, with information about outlooks being more effective and relevant than that about recent inflation and Bank targets. -
Monetary Policy and Racial Inequality in Housing Markets: A Study of 140 US Metropolitan Areas
We find that minority households see greater declines in housing returns and entries into homeownership than White households after a tightening of monetary policy. Our findings emphasize the unintended consequences of monetary policy on racial inequality in the housing market. -
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function
This paper studies non-parametric combinations of density forecasts. We introduce a regression tree-based approach that allows combination weights to vary on the features of the densities, time-trends or economic indicators. In two empirical applications, we show the benefits of this approach in terms of improved forecast accuracy and interpretability.