Posts
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Price Level versus Inflation Targeting under Model Uncertainty
The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative contribution to the inflation versus price level targeting debate. It considers a policy-maker that can set policy either through an inflation targeting rule or a price level targeting rule to minimize a quadratic loss function using the actual projection model of the Bank of Canada (ToTEM). -
February 21, 2013
Conference Summary: Financial Intermediation and Vulnerabilities
The Bank of Canada’s annual economic conference, held in October 2012, brought together experts from across Canada and around the world to discuss key issues concerning financial intermediation and vulnerabilities. The conference covered such topics as household finances and their relationship to financial stability, as well as bank regulation, securitization and shadow banking. -
Risk-Cost Frontier and Collateral Valuation in Securities Settlement Systems for Extreme Market Events
The authors examine how the use of extreme value theory yields collateral requirements that are robust to extreme fluctuations in the market price of the asset used as collateral. -
Structural Change and Forecasting Long-Run Energy Prices
The authors test the statistical significance of Pindyck's (1999) suggested class of econometric equations that model the behaviour of long-run real energy prices. -
December 8, 2015
Framework for Conducting Monetary Policy at Low Interest Rates
This document outlines a series of monetary policy measures that could be deployed in a very low interest rate environment. -
A Forecasting Model for Inventory Investments in Canada
The authors present an empirical model to forecast short-run inventory investment behaviour for Canada. -
Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies
The authors develop a projection model of the euro area and the United Kingdom. The model consists of two country blocks, endogenous to each other via the foreign demand channel. -
What Fed Funds Futures Tell Us About Monetary Policy Uncertainty
The uncertainty around future changes to the Federal Reserve target rate varies over time. In our results, the main driver of uncertainty is a “path” factor signaling information about future policy actions, which is filtered from federal funds futures data. -
June 19, 2013
Reconstruction: Rebuilding Business Confidence in Canada
Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the structural damage to the Canadian economy caused by the crisis, and the need to rebuild Canada’s economic capacity and strengthen business confidence.