November 29, 2018
Posts
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The Trade War in Numbers
We build upon new developments in the international trade literature to isolate and quantify the long-run economic impacts of tariff changes on the United States and the global economy. -
The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada
How do global oil price shocks spread through Canada’s economy? With Canada’s regionally diverse economy in mind, we explore the implications of oil price shocks for Canadian housing markets and regional economies. We show that the belief that oil price shocks only matter in oil-rich regions is false. -
November 26, 2018
Bank of Canada announces finalists for the fourth annual Governor’s Challenge
The Bank of Canada today announced the five finalist teams in the 2018–19 edition of The Governor’s Challenge, a competition where university students simulate the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council. -
Markets Look Beyond the Headline
Many reports and analyses interpret the release of new economic data based on the headline surprise—for instance, total inflation, real GDP growth and the unemployment rate. However, we find that headline news alone cannot adequately explain the responses of market prices to new information. Rather, market prices react more strongly, on average, to non-headline news such as the composition of GDP growth, quality of jobs created and revisions to past data. Thus, tracking the impact of non-headline information released on the news day is crucial in analyzing how markets interpret and react to new economic data. -
November 23, 2018
Expansion of Assets the Bank of Canada will Acquire for Balance Sheet Management Purposes
As part of the regular management of its balance sheet, the Bank of Canada acquires securities to offset its liabilities, which consist mainly of bank notes in circulation and Government of Canada deposits. -
An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output: The Multivariate State-Space Framework
In this paper, we extend the state-space methodology proposed by Blagrave et al. (2015) and decompose Canadian potential output into trend labour productivity and trend labour input. As in Blagrave et al. (2015), we include output growth and inflation expectations from consensus forecasts to help refine our estimates. -
November 22, 2018
Balancing Act: the Link between Monetary Policy and Financial Stability
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how monetary and macroprudential policies interact with each other and how they affect financial stability. -
November 20, 2018
Bank to review the monetary policy framework ahead of 2021 renewal, says Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins
The Bank of Canada will assess a broad range of monetary policy frameworks ahead of the renewal in 2021 of the inflation-control agreement, a joint agreement between the federal government and the Bank that is renewed every five years, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins said today at McGill University’s Max Bell School of Public […] -
November 20, 2018
Choosing the Best Monetary Policy Framework for Canada
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses public policy issues around monetary policy frameworks and how those issues have become more complex in the post-global financial crisis world.