November 6, 2018
Posts
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Calibrating the Magnitude of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer Using Market-Based Stress Tests
How much capital do banks need as a buffer to absorb severe shocks? By using historical stock market data, market-based stress tests help estimate the magnitude of capital buffers necessary to absorb severe but plausible shocks. -
November 5, 2018
Making sense of financial markets worth the effort, Governor Poloz says
It can be a challenge for central banks to reconcile their views of the economy with signals from financial markets, but the effort is worthwhile, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz says in a speech today. -
November 5, 2018
Making Sense of Markets
Governor Poloz discusses how the Bank uses financial market information in its monetary policy. -
Non-Performing Loans, Fiscal Costs and Credit Expansion in China
This paper studies how the credit expansion policy pursued by the Chinese government in an effort to stimulate its economy in the post-crisis period affects bank–firm loan contracts and the macroeconomy. We build a structural model with financial frictions in which the optimal loan contract reflects the trade-off between leverage and the probability of default. -
November 1, 2018
Bank of Canada publishes staff economic projections for the first time
Today the Bank of Canada launched a digital database with more than 30 years of past staff economic projections of the Canadian economy. -
November 1, 2018
2018 Bank of Canada Annual Conference: Inflation Targeting: Revisit! Revise it?
Conference held on November 1 and 2, 2018. -
October 31, 2018
Research Update - October 2018
This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. -
Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts
We present a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada’s staff economic projections. We then provide a forecast evaluation for GDP growth and CPI inflation since 1982: we compare the staff forecasts with those from commonly used time-series models estimated with real-time data and with forecasts from other professional forecasters and provide standard bias tests. -
October 31, 2018
Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce
Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are pleased to be with you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report. At the time of our last appearance in April, our message was about the considerable economic progress that we had seen. We explained that after a lacklustre start […]