January 14, 2008
Posts
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October 7, 2016
Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2016
The autumn Business Outlook Survey provides some signs of improving business prospects, as resource-related activity appears to be gradually bottoming out and foreign demand is providing steady support to firms’ sales expectations. -
Should Monetary Policy Lean Against Housing Market Booms?
Should monetary policy lean against housing market booms? We approach this question using a small-scale, regime-switching New Keynesian model, where housing market crashes arrive with a logit probability that depends on the level of household debt. -
Public Venture Capital and Entrepreneurship
Entrepreneurship is a key factor in promoting growth in output and employment. Consequently, to encourage new start-ups, most governments in developed countries have public venture capital programs. -
April 16, 2014
Release of the Monetary Policy Report
Press conference following the release of the Monetary Policy Report. -
The Empirical Performance of Alternative Monetary and Liquidity Aggregates
This paper examines the empirical performance of alternatives to the monetary aggregates currently published by the Bank of Canada. The results show that real M1 and real M1a perform about equally well in providing leading information about real output at short horizons. However, on theoretical grounds, M1a is a more attractive aggregate, since it excludes […] -
A Blueprint for the Fourth Generation of Bank of Canada Projection and Policy Analysis Models
The fourth generation of Bank of Canada projection and policy analysis models seeks to improve our understanding of inflation dynamics, the supply side of the economy and the underlying risks faced by policy-makers coming from uncertainty about how the economy functions. -
Learning in a Complex World: Insights from an OLG Lab Experiment
This paper brings novel insights into group coordination and price dynamics in complex environments. We implement a chaotic overlapping-generation model in the lab and find that group coordination is always on the steady state or on the two-cycle and that behavior is non-monotonic. -
The Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates: Implications for the Optimal Monetary Policy in Canada
The authors assess the performance of the Canadian economy under a variety of interest rate rules when the zero bound on nominal interest rates can bind. Their assessment is based on numerical simulations of a dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model in a stochastic environment. Consistent with the literature, the authors find that the probability and consequences […] -
December 15, 2016
Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach
In Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach, Bo Young Chang, Michael Januska, Gitanjali Kumar and André Usche discuss how lending that occurs outside the traditional banking system provides benefits to the economy but must be monitored carefully for potential financial sector vulnerabilities. They describe how the Bank defines and measures shadow banking and how it assesses vulnerabilities in the sector, using an approach that examines both markets and entities.