Posts
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October 25, 2006
Governor Dodge Looks at the Global Economy and the Implications for Ontario
In a speech by video conference to the Ontario Economic Leadership Summit in Niagara-on-the-Lake, Governor Dodge reviewed the Bank's projections contained in the Monetary Policy Report, published last week. -
May 13, 1998
Monetary Policy Report – May 1998
Canada’s inflation-control targets establish a specific medium-term objective for monetary policy. -
Price Discovery in Canadian and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Markets
This paper presents some new results on the price discovery process in both the Canadian and U.S. 10-year Government bond markets using high-frequency data not previously analyzed. Using techniques introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices in the market for Canadian Government bonds using futures market data from the Montreal Exchange and OTC cash market data reflecting the inter-dealer market covered by CanPx. -
October 22, 2003
Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report
Since the April Monetary Policy Report, the Canadian economy has been hit by a number of unusual shocks: SARS, BSE, the Ontario electricity blackout, and the severe forest fires in British Columbia. -
Financial Crisis Resolution
This paper studies a dynamic version of the Holmstrom-Tirole model of intermediated finance. I show that competitive equilibria are not constrained efficient when the economy experiences a financial crisis. A pecuniary externality entails that banks’ desire to accumulate capital over time aggravates the scarcity of informed capital during the financial crisis. -
January 15, 2024
Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2023
Consumers believe inflation has fallen, but their expectations for inflation in the near term are showing little progress in returning to pre-pandemic levels. Slow progress may be due to persistently high inflation expectations for services such as rent. In addition, consumers increasingly think domestic factors, such as high government spending, are supporting high inflation, and they believe these factors will take longer to resolve than global factors. Consumers have adjusted their behaviour in response to prolonged high inflation—more people are paying attention to inflation and changing their spending habits. However, actions that may support inflation, such as seeking wage increases to offset it, are dissipating. The negative effects of high interest rates are broadening, and indicators of household financial stress are deteriorating. Consumers remain uncertain about the economic outlook, and this uncertainty is weighing on their spending plans. Workers think the labour market has weakened slightly. However, expectations for wage growth remain high, supported by cost-of-living adjustments in some workers’ wage contracts. -
August 29, 2014
Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2014
Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2014 - For the period ended 30 June 2014 -
The Role of Long-Term Contracting in Business Lending
This paper examines inefficiencies arising from a lack of long-term contracting in small business lending in China. -
February 10, 2011
Commodity Prices: The Long and the Short of It
Commodity prices are once again making headlines. Some commodity prices, such as those for copper and cattle, have reached record highs; others are rising quickly and approaching previous peaks.