December 11, 2020
Posts
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Can the Business Outlook Survey Help Improve Estimates of the Canadian Output Gap?
We investigate whether questions in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey can provide useful signals for the output gap. -
Towards a HANK Model for Canada: Estimating a Canadian Income Process
How might one simulate a million realistic income paths and compute their statistical moments in under a second? Using CUDA-based methods to estimate the Canadian earnings process, I find that the distribution of labour income growth is sharply peaked with heavy tails—similar to that in the United States. -
Safe Payments
In a cashless economy, would the private sector invest in the optimal level of safety in a deposit-based payment system? In general, because of externalities, the answer is no. While the private sector could over- or under-invest in safety, the government can use taxes or subsidies to correct private incentives. -
December 10, 2020
How quantitative easing works
Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains the Bank’s quantitative easing program and its role in the economic recovery. He also discusses the Bank’s decision yesterday to leave the policy rate unchanged. -
December 10, 2020
Our quantitative easing operations: Looking under the hood
Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and discusses how quantitative easing supports economic recovery and the 2% inflation target. -
December 9, 2020
Bank of Canada will maintain current level of policy rate until inflation objective is achieved, continues its quantitative easing program
The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. -
2020 US Neutral Rate Assessment
This paper presents Bank of Canada staff’s current assessment of the US neutral rate, along with a newly developed set of models on which that assessment is based. The overall assessment is that the US neutral rate currently lies in a range of 1.75 to 2.75 percent. -
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November 30, 2020
Summary of Comments – Fall 2020 Debt Management Strategy Consultations
Today, the Fall 2020 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Summary is being published in conjunction with the release of the Government of Canada’s Fall Economic Statement 2020.