Staff research, Publications
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October 16, 2017
Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2017
Results from the autumn Business Outlook Survey point to continued positive business sentiment across the country, with business activity becoming entrenched. Firms’ prospects remain healthy, although several survey indicators have moderated from the strong summer results. -
October 16, 2017
Senior Loan Officer Survey - Third Quarter of 2017
Survey results point to nearly unchanged overall business-lending conditions in the third quarter. This is the fifth consecutive quarter of unchanged overall conditions. -
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Measuring Limits of Arbitrage in Fixed-Income Markets
We use relative value to measure limits to arbitrage in fixed-income markets. Relative value captures apparent deviations from no-arbitrage relationships. It is simple, intuitive and can be computed model-free for any bond. -
The Mode is the Message: Using Predata as Exclusion Restrictions to Evaluate Survey Design
Changes in survey mode (e.g., online, offline) may influence the values of survey responses, and may be particularly problematic when comparing repeated cross-sectional surveys. -
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Redistributive Effects of a Change in the Inflation Target
In light of the financial crisis and its aftermath, several economists have argued that inflation-targeting central banks should reconsider the level of their inflation targets. While the appropriate level for the inflation target remains an open question, it’s important to note that any transition to a new target would entail certain costs. -
Policy Rules for Capital Controls
This paper attempts to borrow the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions in monetary policy literature and apply it to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2015, I examine the mercantilist and macroprudential motivations for capital control policies. -
September 30, 2017
Research Update - September 2017
This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website.