G15 - International Financial Markets

• Exchange Rate Regimes, Globalisation, and the Cost of Capital in Emerging Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-29 Antonio Diez de los Rios

  This paper presents a multifactor asset pricing model for currency, bond, and stock returns for ten emerging markets to investigate the effect of the exchange rate regime on the cost of capital and the integration of emerging financial markets. Since there is evidence that a fixed exchange rate regime reduces the currency risk premia demanded by foreign investors, the tentative conclusion is that a fixed exchange rate regime system can help reduce the cost of capital in emerging markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Development economics, Exchange rate regimes JEL Code(s): F, F3, F30, F33, G, G1, G15

• Price Formation and Liquidity Provision in Short-Term Fixed Income Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-27 Chris D'Souza, Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices. High levels of quote and trade transparency plus substantial quoting obligations in European government securities markets ensure that prices are informationally efficient.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• A No-Arbitrage Analysis of Macroeconomic Determinants of Term Structures and the Exchange Rate

  Staff Working Paper 2007-21 Fousseni Chabi-Yo, Jun Yang

  We study the joint dynamics of macroeconomic variables, bond yields, and the exchange rate in an empirical two-country New-Keynesian model complemented with a no-arbitrage term structure model. With Canadian and US data, we are able to study the impact of macroeconomic shocks from both countries on their yield curves and the exchange rate.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Debt management, Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E1, E12, E4, E43, F, F4, F41, G, G1, G12, G15

• The Long-Term Effects of Cross-Listing, Investor Recognition, and Ownership Structure on Valuation

  Staff Working Paper 2006-44 Michael R. King, Dan Segal

  The authors show that the widening of a foreign firm's U.S. investor base and the improved information environment associated with cross-listing on a U.S. exchange each have a separately identifiable effect on a firm's valuation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G15

• Can Affine Term Structure Models Help Us Predict Exchange Rates?

  Staff Working Paper 2006-27 Antonio Diez de los Rios

  The author proposes an arbitrage-free model of the joint behaviour of interest and exchange rates whose exchange rate forecasts outperform those produced by a random-walk model, a vector autoregression on the forward premiums and the rate of depreciation, and the standard forward premium regression.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G12, G15

• An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Exchange Reserves in Emerging Asia

  Staff Working Paper 2005-38 Marc-André Gosselin, Nicolas Parent

  Over the past few years, the ability of the United States to finance its current account deficit has been facilitated by massive purchases of U.S.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15

• The Effectiveness of Official Foreign Exchange Intervention in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Canadian Dollar

  Staff Working Paper 2005-21 Rasmus Fatum, Michael R. King

  The Bank of Canada is one of very few central banks that has made records of the intraday timing of its intervention operations available to researchers.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G14, G15

• The Monetary Origins of Asymmetric Information in International Equity Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2004-47 Gregory Bauer, Clara Vega

  Existing studies using low-frequency data show that macroeconomic shocks contribute little to international stock market covariation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): F, F3, F30, G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• International Equity Flows and Returns: A Quantitative Equilibrium Approach

  Staff Working Paper 2004-42 Rui Albuquerque, Martin Schneider, Gregory Bauer

  The authors model trading by foreign and domestic investors in developed-country equity markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): F, F3, F30, G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• International Cross-Listing and the Bonding Hypothesis

  Staff Working Paper 2004-17 Michael R. King, Dan Segal

  The authors describe a new view of cross-listing that links the impact on firm valuation to the firm's ability to develop an active secondary market for its shares in the U.S. markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G15