G14 - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

• Information Shocks, Jumps, and Price Discovery - Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market

  Staff Working Paper 2008-22 George Jiang, Ingrid Lo, Adrien Verdelhan

  We examine large price changes, known as jumps, in the U.S. Treasury market. Using recently developed statistical tools, we identify price jumps in the 2-, 3-, 5-, 10-year notes and 30-year bond during the period of 2005-2006.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14

• Price Discovery in Canadian and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-43 Bryan Campbell, Scott Hendry

  This paper presents some new results on the price discovery process in both the Canadian and U.S. 10-year Government bond markets using high-frequency data not previously analyzed. Using techniques introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices in the market for Canadian Government bonds using futures market data from the Montreal Exchange and OTC cash market data reflecting the inter-dealer market covered by CanPx.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G13, G14

• Price Formation and Liquidity Provision in Short-Term Fixed Income Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-27 Chris D'Souza, Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices. High levels of quote and trade transparency plus substantial quoting obligations in European government securities markets ensure that prices are informationally efficient.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• Order Aggressiveness and Quantity: How Are They Determined in a Limit Order Market?

  Staff Working Paper 2007-23 Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Dealers trading in a limit order market must choose both the order aggressiveness and the quantity for their orders. We empirically investigate how dealers jointly make these decisions in the foreign exchange market using a unique simultaneous equations model.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14

• Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility

  Staff Working Paper 2007-20 Gregory Bauer, Keith Vorkink

  We present a new matrix-logarithm model of the realized covariance matrix of stock returns. The model uses latent factors which are functions of both lagged volatility and returns.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, G, G1, G14

• Impact of Electronic Trading Platforms on the Brokered Interdealer Market for Government of Canada Benchmark Bonds

  Staff Working Paper 2007-5 Natasha Khan

  This study examines the impact of increased transparency, brought about by the introduction of three electronic trading systems, on the brokered interdealer market for Government of Canada benchmark securities. Using the CanPX dataset for the 2-, 5-, 10-, and 30-year benchmarks, the paper finds some evidence of decreased bid-ask spreads for the 30-year benchmark in the months following the introduction of the electronic platforms.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G14

• Price Discovery in Canadian Government Bond Futures and Spot Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-4 Christopher Chung, Bryan Campbell, Scott Hendry

  In this paper we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices for Canadian Government bonds. We follow the information-share approaches introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Harris et al (1995), applying the techniques in Gonzalo-Granger (1995), to evaluate the relative contributions of trading in the cash and futures markets to the price discovery process.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G13, G14

• The Effectiveness of Official Foreign Exchange Intervention in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Canadian Dollar

  Staff Working Paper 2005-21 Rasmus Fatum, Michael R. King

  The Bank of Canada is one of very few central banks that has made records of the intraday timing of its intervention operations available to researchers.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G14, G15

• Pre-Bid Run-Ups Ahead of Canadian Takeovers: How Big Is the Problem?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-3 Michael R. King, Maksym Padalko

  The authors study the price - volume dynamics ahead of the first public announcement of a takeover for 420 Canadian firms from 1985 to 2002.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14, G18, G3, G34

• Trade Credit and Credit Rationing in Canadian Firms

  Staff Working Paper 2004-49 Rose Cunningham

  Burkart and Ellingsen's (2004) model of trade credit and bank credit rationing predicts that trade credit will be used by medium-wealth and low-wealth firms to help ease bank credit rationing.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14, G2, G21, G3, G32