E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
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Labour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes
We develop an equilibrium model of the monetary policy transmission mechanism that highlights information frictions in the market for money and search frictions in the market for labour. -
Inflation Expectations and Learning about Monetary Policy
Various measures indicate that inflation expectations evolve sluggishly relative to actual inflation. In addition, they often fail conventional tests of unbiasedness. -
Exponentials, Polynomials, and Fourier Series: More Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada
This paper continues the work started by Bolder and Stréliski (1999) and considers two alternative classes of models for extracting zero-coupon and forward rates from a set of observed Government of Canada bond and treasury-bill prices. -
Habit Formation and the Persistence of Monetary Shocks
This paper studies the persistent effects of monetary shocks on output. Previous empirical literature documents this persistence, but standard general-equilibrium models with sticky prices fail to generate output responses beyond the duration of nominal contracts. -
Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy in Canada Since 1981
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic, stochastic, general-equilibrium model with price and wage stickiness to analyze monetary policy in Canada. -
How to Improve Inflation Targeting at the Bank of Canada
This paper shows that if the Bank of Canada is optimally adjusting its monetary policy instrument in response to inflation indicators to target 2 per cent inflation at a two-year horizon, then deviations of inflation from 2 per cent represent the Bank's forecast errors, and should be uncorrelated with its information set, which includes two-year lagged values of the instrument and the indicators. Positive or negative correlations are evidence of systematic errors in monetary policy. -
The Usefulness of Consumer Confidence Indexes in the United States
This paper assesses the usefulness of consumer confidence indexes in forecasting aggregate consumer spending in the United States. -
Entrepreneurial Risk, Credit Constraints, and the Corporate Income Tax: A Quantitative Exploration
This paper describes the positive effect that corporate income tax has on capital formation in the presence of liquidity constraints and uninsurable risk. -
Evaluating the Quarterly Projection Model: A Preliminary Investigation
This paper summarizes the results of recent research evaluating the Bank of Canada's Quarterly Projection Model (QPM).