E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
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Monetary Policy, Trends in Real Interest Rates and Depressed Demand
Over the last few decades, real interest rates have trended downward. The most common explanation is that this reflects depressed demand due to demographic, technological and other real factors. We explore the claim that these trends may have been amplified by certain features of monetary policy. -
Can regulating bank capital help prevent and mitigate financial downturns?
Countercyclical capital buffers are regulatory measures developed in response to the global financial crisis of 2008–09. This note focuses on how time-varying capital buffers can improve financial stability in Canada -
Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies
Optimal coordination of monetary and macroprudential policies implies higher risk weights on (safe) bonds any time that banks are required to hold additional capital buffers. Coordination also implies a somewhat tighter monetary-policy stance whenever such capital buffers are released. -
Imperfect Banking Competition and Macroeconomic Volatility: A DSGE Framework
How do banks adjust their loan rate markup in response to macroeconomic shocks? -
Networking the Yield Curve: Implications for Monetary Policy
We study how different monetary policies affect the yield curve and interact. Our study highlights the importance of the spillover structure across the yield curve for policy-making. -
Monetary Policy and Cross-Border Interbank Market Fragmentation: Lessons from the Crisis
We present a two-country model featuring risky lending and cross-border interbank market frictions. -
Is the stock market pricing in a V‑shaped recovery?
Major stock indexes have bounced back from their March 23 trough to about 10 percent below their peaks. However, stocks that are more sensitive to the business cycle have not performed as well during this market rally. This suggests that stock markets are pricing in a slower, shallower economic recovery. -
The potential effect of a central bank digital currency on deposit funding in Canada
A retail central bank digital currency denominated in Canadian dollars could, in theory, create competition for bank deposit funding. -
Canadian Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Conditions
Severe disruptions in the financial markets, as observed during the 2008 global financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, can impair the stability of the entire financial system and worsen macroeconomic downturns.