D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

• Price Level versus Inflation Targeting under Model Uncertainty

  Staff Working Paper 2008-15 Gino Cateau

  The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative contribution to the inflation versus price level targeting debate. It considers a policy-maker that can set policy either through an inflation targeting rule or a price level targeting rule to minimize a quadratic loss function using the actual projection model of the Bank of Canada (ToTEM).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58

• Efficient Hedging and Pricing of Equity-Linked Life Insurance Contracts on Several Risky Assets

  Staff Working Paper 2006-43 Alexander Melnikov, Yuliya Romanyuk

  The authors use the efficient hedging methodology for optimal pricing and hedging of equity-linked life insurance contracts whose payoff depends on the performance of several risky assets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, G, G1, G10, G12

• Guarding Against Large Policy Errors under Model Uncertainty

  Staff Working Paper 2006-13 Gino Cateau

  How can policy-makers avoid large policy errors when they are uncertain about the true model of the economy?

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58

• A Structural Error-Correction Model of Best Prices and Depths in the Foreign Exchange Limit Order Market

  Staff Working Paper 2006-8 Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Traders using the electronic limit order book in the foreign exchange market can watch the posted price and depth of the best quotes change over the day.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C3, D, D8, F, F3, F31

• A Search Model of Venture Capital, Entrepreneurship, and Unemployment

  Staff Working Paper 2005-24 Robin Boadway, Oana Secrieru, Marianne Vigneault

  The authors develop a search model of venture capital in which the number of successful matches of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists (VCs) at any moment in time is a function of the number of entrepreneurs searching for funds, the number of VCs searching for entrepreneurs, and the number of vacancies posted by each VC.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Fiscal policy, Labour markets JEL Code(s): D, D8, D82, G, G1, G18, G2, G24, H, H2, H21, J, J6, J64

• Pocket Banks and Out-of-Pocket Losses: Links between Corruption and Contagion

  Staff Working Paper 2005-23 Raphael Solomon

  The author describes a model with a corrupt banking system, in which bankers knowingly lend at market interest rates to back projects riskier than the market rate indicates.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): D, D8, D82, G, G1, G19, G2, G21

• Lines of Credit and Consumption Smoothing: The Choice between Credit Cards and Home Equity Lines of Credit

  Staff Working Paper 2005-18 Shubhasis Dey

  The author models the choice between credit cards and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) within a framework where consumers hold lines of credit as instruments of consumption smoothing across state and time.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates JEL Code(s): D, D1, D8, D81

• Risk Perceptions and Attitudes

  Staff Working Paper 2005-17 Miroslav Misina

  Changes in risk perception have been used in various contexts to explain shorter-term developments in financial markets, as part of a mechanism that amplifies fluctuations in financial markets, as well as in accounts of "irrational exuberance."

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, D84, G, G1, G12

• Determinants of Borrowing Limits on Credit Cards

  Staff Working Paper 2005-7 Shubhasis Dey, Gene Mumy

  The difference between actual borrowings and borrowing limits alone generates information asymmetry in the credit card market.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): C, C3, D, D4, D8, D82

• Monetary Policy under Model and Data-Parameter Uncertainty

  Staff Working Paper 2005-6 Gino Cateau

  Policy-makers in the United States over the past 15 to 20 years seem to have been cautious in setting policy: empirical estimates of monetary policy rules such as Taylor's (1993) rule are much less aggressive than those derived from optimizing models.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58