C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

• Stress Testing the Corporate Loans Portfolio of the Canadian Banking Sector

  Staff Working Paper 2006-47 Miroslav Misina, David Tessier, Shubhasis Dey

  Stress testing, at its most general level, is an investigation of the performance of an entity under abnormal operating conditions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C1, C15, G, G2, G21, G3, G33

• Short-Run and Long-Run Causality between Monetary Policy Variables and Stock Prices

  Staff Working Paper 2006-39 Jean-Marie Dufour, David Tessier

  The authors examine simultaneously the causal links connecting monetary policy variables, real activity, and stock returns.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, C15, C3, C32, C5, C51, C53, E, E5, E52

• Assessing and Valuing the Non-Linear Structure of Hedge Fund Returns

  Staff Working Paper 2006-31 Antonio Diez de los Rios, René Garcia

  Several studies have put forward the non-linear structure and option-like features of returns associated with hedge fund strategies.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial institutions JEL Code(s): C, C1, C5, G, G1

• Risk-Cost Frontier and Collateral Valuation in Securities Settlement Systems for Extreme Market Events

  Staff Working Paper 2006-17 Alejandro García, Ramazan Gençay

  The authors examine how the use of extreme value theory yields collateral requirements that are robust to extreme fluctuations in the market price of the asset used as collateral.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C1, G, G0, G1

• Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model

  Staff Working Paper 2006-4 Ali Dib, Mohamed Gammoudi, Kevin Moran

  The authors document the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of the New Keynesian model for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, E, E3, E32, E37

• An Evaluation of MLE in a Model of the Nonlinear Continuous-Time Short-Term Interest Rate

  Staff Working Paper 2005-45 Ingrid Lo

  The author compares the performance of three Gaussian approximation methods - by Nowman (1997), Shoji and Ozaki (1998), and Yu and Phillips (2001) - in estimating a model of the nonlinear continuous-time short-term interest rate.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C1, E, E4

• Testing the Parametric Specification of the Diffusion Function in a Diffusion Process

  Staff Working Paper 2005-35 Fuchun Li

  A new consistent test is proposed for the parametric specification of the diffusion function in a diffusion process without any restrictions on the functional form of the drift function.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, C14

• Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Identification-Robust Econometric Analysis

  Staff Working Paper 2005-27 Jean-Marie Dufour, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  The authors use identification-robust methods to assess the empirical adequacy of a New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) equation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31

• The U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Empirical Assessment

  Staff Working Paper 2004-35 Alain Guay, Florian Pelgrin

  The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31

• Estimating New Keynesian Phillips Curves Using Exact Methods

  Staff Working Paper 2004-11 Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  The authors use simple new finite-sample methods to test the empirical relevance of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) equation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31