Staff working papers

• Institutional Quality, Trade, and the Changing Distribution of World Income

  Staff Working Paper 2006-19 Brigitte Desroches, Michael Francis

  Conventional wisdom holds that institutional changes and trade liberalization are two main sources of growth in per capita income around the world.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Development economics, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F1, F11, F15, O, O1, O11, P, P4, P48

• Working Time over the 20th Century

  Staff Working Paper 2006-18 Alexander Ueberfeldt

  From 1870 to 2000, the workweek length of employed persons decreased by 41 per cent in industrialized countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Labour markets, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E2, E24, O, O1, O11

• Risk-Cost Frontier and Collateral Valuation in Securities Settlement Systems for Extreme Market Events

  Staff Working Paper 2006-17 Alejandro García, Ramazan Gençay

  The authors examine how the use of extreme value theory yields collateral requirements that are robust to extreme fluctuations in the market price of the asset used as collateral.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C1, G, G0, G1

• Benchmark Index of Risk Appetite

  Staff Working Paper 2006-16 Miroslav Misina

  Changes in investors' risk appetite have been used to explain a variety of phenomena in asset markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12

• LVTS, the Overnight Market, and Monetary Policy

  Staff Working Paper 2006-15 Nadja Kamhi

  Operational events in the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) almost always result in a disturbance of the regular flow of payments.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy implementation, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E5

• Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion

  Staff Working Paper 2006-14 Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian, Sebastien McMahon

  Fluctuations in the prices of various natural resource products are of concern in both policy and business circles; hence, it is important to develop accurate price forecasts.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E3, E37

• Guarding Against Large Policy Errors under Model Uncertainty

  Staff Working Paper 2006-13 Gino Cateau

  How can policy-makers avoid large policy errors when they are uncertain about the true model of the economy?

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58

• The Welfare Implications of Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting in a Two-Sector, Small Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2006-12 Eva Ortega, Nooman Rebei

  The authors analyze the welfare implications of simple monetary policy rules in the context of an estimated model of a small open economy for Canada with traded and non-traded goods, and with sticky prices and wages.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, Inflation targets JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52

• The Federal Reserve's Dual Mandate: A Time-Varying Monetary Policy Priority Index for the United States

  Staff Working Paper 2006-11 René Lalonde, Nicolas Parent

  In the United States, the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of promoting stable inflation and maximum employment. Since the Fed directly controls only one instrument - the federal funds rate - the authors argue that the Fed's priorities continuously alternate between inflation and economic activity.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, E, E5, E52

• An Evaluation of Core Inflation Measures

  Staff Working Paper 2006-10 Jamie Armour

  The author provides a statistical evaluation of various measures of core inflation for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31