Staff working papers

• Examining Simple Joint Macroeconomic and Term-Structure Models: A Practitioner's Perspective

  Staff Working Paper 2007-49 David Bolder, Shudan Liu

  The primary objective of this paper is to compare a variety of joint models of the term structure of interest rates and the macroeconomy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C0, C6, E, E4, G, G1

• Estimating and Comparing the Implied Cost of Equity for Canadian and U.S. Firms

  Staff Working Paper 2007-48 Jonathan Witmer, Lorie Zorn

  This paper estimates the implied cost of equity for Canadian and U.S. firms using a methodology based on the dividend discount model and utilizing firms' current stock price and analysts' forecasted earnings.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): G, G3, G30, G38

• Implications of Asymmetry Risk for Portfolio Analysis and Asset Pricing

  Staff Working Paper 2007-47 Fousseni Chabi-Yo, Dietmar Leisen, Eric Renault

  Asymmetric shocks are common in markets; securities' payoffs are not normally distributed and exhibit skewness. This paper studies the portfolio holdings of heterogeneous agents with preferences over mean, variance and skewness, and derives equilibrium prices.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, D, D5, D58, G, G1, G11, G12

• Endogenously Segmented Asset Market in an Inventory Theoretic Model of Money Demand

  Staff Working Paper 2007-46 Jonathan Chiu

  This paper studies the effects of monetary policy in an inventory theoretic model of money demand. In this model, agents keep inventories of money, despite the fact that money is dominated in rate of return by interest bearing assets, because they must pay a fixed cost to transfer funds between the asset market and the goods market.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E4, E41, E5, E50

• Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2007-45 Michael Bordo, Ali Dib, Lawrence L. Schembri

  This paper revisits Canada's pioneering experience with floating exchange rate over the period 1950–1962. It examines whether the floating rate was the best option for Canada in the 1950s by developing and estimating a New Keynesian small open economy model of the Canadian economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E37, F, F3, F31, F32, N, N1

• Cyclical Behavior of Debt and Equity Using a Panel of Canadian Firms

  Staff Working Paper 2007-44 Francisco Covas, Wouter den Haan

  We document the cyclical behavior of debt, equity, and retained earnings for different firm categories using firm-level Canadian data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, G, G3, G32

• Price Discovery in Canadian and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2007-43 Bryan Campbell, Scott Hendry

  This paper presents some new results on the price discovery process in both the Canadian and U.S. 10-year Government bond markets using high-frequency data not previously analyzed. Using techniques introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo-Granger (1995), we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices in the market for Canadian Government bonds using futures market data from the Montreal Exchange and OTC cash market data reflecting the inter-dealer market covered by CanPx.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G13, G14

• Trend Inflation, Wage and Price Rigidities, and Welfare

  Staff Working Paper 2007-42 Robert Amano, Kevin Moran, Stephen Murchison, Andrew Rennison

  This paper studies the steady-state costs of inflation in a general-equilibrium model with real per capita output growth and staggered nominal price and wage contracts.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation: costs and benefits JEL Code(s): E, E0, E5

• Multilateral Adjustment and Exchange Rate Dynamics: The Case of Three Commodity Currencies

  Staff Working Paper 2007-41 Jeannine Bailliu, Ali Dib, Takashi Kano, Lawrence L. Schembri

  In this paper, we empirically investigate whether multilateral adjustment to large U.S. external imbalances can help explain movements in the bilateral exchange rates of three commodity currencies – the Australian, Canadian and New Zealand (ACNZ) dollars.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C2, C22, F, F3, F31, F32

• Family Values: Ownership Structure, Performance and Capital Structure of Canadian Firms

  Staff Working Paper 2007-40 Michael R. King, Eric Santor

  This study examines how family ownership affects the performance and capital structure of 613 Canadian firms using a panel dataset from 1998 to 2005.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G15