Staff working papers

• International Equity Flows and Returns: A Quantitative Equilibrium Approach

  Staff Working Paper 2004-42 Rui Albuquerque, Martin Schneider, Gregory Bauer

  The authors model trading by foreign and domestic investors in developed-country equity markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, International topics, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): F, F3, F30, G, G1, G12, G14, G15

• Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Small Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2004-41 Nooman Rebei

  The author studies the macroeconomic consequences of discretionary changes in the fiscal policy instruments for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, Fiscal policy JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E6, E62

• Prévision et analyse de la production manufacturière au Canada : comparaison de modèles linéaires et non linéaires

  Staff Working Paper 2004-40 Frédérick Demers

  In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C53

• A Forecasting Model for Inventory Investments in Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2004-39 Marwan Chacra, Maral Kichian

  The authors present an empirical model to forecast short-run inventory investment behaviour for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E2, E22, E6, E62

• Finance Constraints and Inventory Investment: Empirical Tests with Panel Data

  Staff Working Paper 2004-38 Rose Cunningham

  The author empirically tests two aspects of the interaction between financial variables and inventory investment: negative cash flow and finance constraints due to asymmetric information.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Financial institutions JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, G, G1, G14

• The Implications of Transmission and Information Lags for the Stabilization Bias and Optimal Delegation

  Staff Working Paper 2004-37 Jean-Paul Lam, Florian Pelgrin

  In two recent papers, Jensen (2002) and Walsh (2003), using a hybrid New Keynesian model, demonstrate that a regime that targets either nominal income growth or the change in the output gap can effectively replicate the outcome under commitment and hence reduce the size of the stabilization bias.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E62

• Optimal Taylor Rules in an Estimated Model of a Small Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 2004-36 Steve Ambler, Ali Dib, Nooman Rebei

  The authors compute welfare-maximizing Taylor rules in a dynamic general-equilibrium model of a small open economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, Inflation targets JEL Code(s): F, F2, F3, F31, F33

• The U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Empirical Assessment

  Staff Working Paper 2004-35 Alain Guay, Florian Pelgrin

  The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31

• Market Valuation and Risk Assessment of Canadian Banks

  Staff Working Paper 2004-34 Ying Liu, Mingwei Yuan, Eli Papakirykos

  The authors apply the asset-valuation model developed by Rabinovitch (1989) to six publicly traded Canadian banks over the period 1982–2002.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G2, G21

• Counterfeiting: A Canadian Perspective

  Staff Working Paper 2004-33 John Chant

  Counterfeiting is a significant public policy issue, because paper money, despite rumours of its demise, remains an important part of our payments system.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Bank notes JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58