Staff research

• The Microstructure of Financial Derivatives Markets: Exchange-Traded versus Over-the-Counter

  Technical Report No. 68 Brenda González-Hermosillo

  In this report the author focusses on the microstructure of derivatives markets. While the primary objective is to examine derivatives markets in Canada, the author also discusses certain developments in global derivatives markets that are bound to influence the functioning and development of financial markets in a small, open economy such as Canada's. It is […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10

• A Further Analysis of Exchange Rate Targeting in Canada

  Staff Working Paper 1994-2 Robert Amano, Tony S. Wirjanto

  In a recent paper Mercenier and Sekkat (1988) conclude that the Bank of Canada has followed a policy of exchange rate targeting using the money supply. We re-examine their results using a different estimation approach and with different assumptions about the forcing process of the exogenous variables.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates

• Optimum Currency Areas and Shock Asymmetry: A Comparison of Europe and the United States

  Staff Working Paper 1994-1 Nick Chamie, Alain DeSerres, René Lalonde

  Since the early 1980s, models based on economic fundamentals have been poor at explaining the movements in the exchange rate (Messe 1990). In response to this problem, Frankel and Froot (1988) developed a model that uses two approaches to forecast the exchange rate: the fundamentalist approach, which bases the forecast on economic fundamentals, and the chartist approach, which bases the forecast on the past behaviour of the exchange rate.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C4, C40, G, G1, G12

• The Role of House Prices in Regional Inflation Disparities

  Technical Report No. 67 Dinah Maclean

  Theoretically, house prices will reveal greater disparities between regions than prices for more easily tradable goods and services. This contributes to regional disparities in inflation. In this report the author reviews a range of factors that are likely to cause greater disparities in house price inflation than in the price inflation of other goods and […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Regional economic developments

• Les sources des fluctuations des taux de change en Europe et leurs implications pour l'union monétaire

  Technical Report No. 66 Alain DeSerres, René Lalonde

  The objective of this paper is to provide an empirical evaluation of the degree of shock asymmetry between eight European countries that would form the core of a monetary union. Given that the relevant measure is the degree of real shock asymmetry, our approach is to use the observed movement in real exchange rates as […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F1, F15, F3, F31

• Modèles indicateurs du PIB réel pour quatre pays d'Europe et le Japon

  Staff Working Paper 1993-11 Peter Gruhn, Pierre St-Amant

  For the five overseas countries considered in this study (Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom and Japan), data on real GDP are released on a quarterly basis at least two months after the end-of-quarter.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers

• Tests of Market Efficiency in the One-Week When-Issued Market for Government of Canada Treasury Bills

  Technical Report No. 65 D. Graham Pugh

  This report presents different tests of market efficiency in the when- issued market for Government of Canada treasury bills and examines the effectiveness, in this market, of Bank operations over the 1986 to mid- 1992 period. The when-issued market, which is a combination of a forward and futures market, enables market participants to buy or […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14

• Measurement Biases in the Canadian CPI

  Technical Report No. 64 Allan Crawford

  The consumer price index (CPI) may be an imperfect measure of changes in the cost of living owing to measurement biases known as commodity substitution bias, new goods bias, quality bias and outlet substitution bias. When the sum of these individual biases is positive, the rate of change in the CPI overstates the increase in […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31

• Monetary Policy, Uncertainty and the Presumption of Linearity

  Technical Report No. 63 Douglas Laxton, David Rose, Robert Tetlow

  This report shows that extreme conditions and volatility in markets are much more likely to result from systematic policy errors in gauging and responding to inflationary pressures in an economy than from unfortunate random shocks. We describe a simple model that incorporates the key features of the policy control process. We use two versions of […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52

• The Development of Financial Derivatives Markets: The Canadian Experience

  Technical Report No. 62 Sean O'Connor

  In response to an intense demand for risk management services since the early 1980s, the over-the-counter (OTC) markets for financial derivatives in Canada have developed more vigorously than those for exchange-traded (EXT) derivative securities. This is particularly evident for interest rate derivatives. The objectives of this paper are to examine why Canadian interest rate derivatives […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10