Staff research

• Inflation Changes, Yield Spreads, and Threshold Effects

  Staff Working Paper 2002-40 Greg Tkacz

  Using interest rate yield spreads to explain changes in inflation, we investigate whether such relationships can be modelled using two-regime threshold models.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, E, E3, E31

• An Empirical Analysis of Dynamic Interrelationships Among Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty, Relative Price Dispersion, and Output Growth

  Staff Working Paper 2002-39 Francis Vitek

  Within a unified framework, the author conducts an empirical investigation of dynamic interrelationships among inflation, inflation uncertainty, relative price dispersion, and output growth.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31

• Oil-Price Shocks and Retail Energy Prices in Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2002-38 Marwan Chacra

  The effects of global energy-price shocks on retail energy prices in Canada are examined. More specifically, the author looks at the response of the consumer price indexes for gasoline, heating oil, natural gas, and electricity in Canada to movements in world crude oil prices.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C51, C53, Q, Q4, Q40

• The Performance and Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of the Canadian Economy

  Technical Report No. 92 Denise Côté, John Kuszczak, Jean-Paul Lam, Ying Liu, Pierre St-Amant

  In this report, we evaluate several simple monetary policy rules in twelve private and public sector models of the Canadian economy. Our results indicate that none of the simple policy rules we examined is robust to model uncertainty, in that no single rule performs well in all models.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Research Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58

• Alternative Public Spending Rules and Output Volatility

  Staff Working Paper 2002-37 Jean-Paul Lam, William Scarth

  One of the central lessons learned from the Great Depression was that adjusting government spending each year to balance the budget increases the volatility of output.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E62

• An Eclectic Approach to Estimating U.S. Potential GDP

  Staff Working Paper 2002-36 Marc-André Gosselin, René Lalonde

  The authors describe the principal results obtained from a new method applied to the estimation of potential U.S. GDP.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E2, E23, E3, E32

• The Impact of Common Currencies on Financial Markets: A Literature Review and Evidence from the Euro Area

  Staff Working Paper 2002-35 Liliane Karlinger

  This paper reviews both the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of common currencies on financial markets and evaluates the first three years of experience with Economic and Monetary Union (EMU).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, F, F2, F21, F3, F36, G, G1, G15

• How Do Canadian Banks That Deal in Foreign Exchange Hedge Their Exposure to Risk?

  Staff Working Paper 2002-34 Chris D'Souza

  This paper examines the daily hedging and risk-management practices of financial intermediaries in the Canadian foreign exchange (FX) market.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G1, G14, G2, G21

• Alternative Trading Systems: Does One Shoe Fit All?

  Staff Working Paper 2002-33 Nicolas Audet, Toni Gravelle, Jing Yang

  This paper examines the factors that lead liquidity-motivated investors to choose the type of market structure they prefer.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G14, G18

• Labour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes

  Staff Working Paper 2002-32 David Andolfatto, Scott Hendry, Kevin Moran

  We develop an equilibrium model of the monetary policy transmission mechanism that highlights information frictions in the market for money and search frictions in the market for labour.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E4, E5