Staff research

• Quantity, Quality, and Relevance: Central Bank Research, 1990–2003

  Staff Working Paper 2005-37 Pierre St-Amant, Greg Tkacz, Annie Guérard-Langlois, Louis Morel

  The authors document the research output of 34 central banks from 1990 to 2003, and use proxies of research inputs to measure the research productivity of central banks over this period.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research JEL Code(s): E, E5, E59

• MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy

  Technical Report No. 96 Marc-André Gosselin, René Lalonde

  The analysis and forecasting of developments in the U.S. economy have always played a critical role in the formulation of Canadian economic and financial policy. Thus, the Bank places considerable importance on generating internal forecasts of U.S. economic activity as an input to the Canadian projection.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E1, E17, E2, E27, E3, E37, F, F1, F17

• The Canadian Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: An Equilibrium-Based Approach

  Staff Working Paper 2005-36 René Garcia, Richard Luger

  The authors develop and estimate an equilibrium-based model of the Canadian term structure of interest rates.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E44, E47, E5, E52

• Testing the Parametric Specification of the Diffusion Function in a Diffusion Process

  Staff Working Paper 2005-35 Fuchun Li

  A new consistent test is proposed for the parametric specification of the diffusion function in a diffusion process without any restrictions on the functional form of the drift function.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, C14

• The Exchange Rate and Canadian Inflation Targeting

  Staff Working Paper 2005-34 Christopher Ragan

  The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, E52, F, F4, F41

• Does Financial Structure Matter for the Information Content of Financial Indicators?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-33 Ramdane Djoudad, Jack Selody, Carolyn A. Wilkins

  Of particular concern to monetary policy-makers is the considerable unreliability of financial variables for predicting GDP growth and inflation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary aggregates JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32

• Degree of Internationalization and Performance: An Analysis of Canadian Banks

  Staff Working Paper 2005-32 Walid Hejazi, Eric Santor

  The international business literature measures the link between the degree of internationalization (DOI) of a firm's activities and its performance.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): F, F2, F23, G, G2, G21

• Forecasting Canadian GDP: Region-Specific versus Countrywide Information

  Staff Working Paper 2005-31 Frédérick Demers, David Dupuis

  The authors investigate whether the aggregation of region-specific forecasts improves upon the direct forecasting of Canadian GDP growth.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, E, E1, E17

• Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics: Evidence from a Two-Dimensional Labour Supply Model with Money

  Staff Working Paper 2005-30 Ali Dib, Louis Phaneuf

  The hypothesis of intertemporal substitution in labour supply has a history of empirical failure when confronted with aggregate time-series data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Labour markets JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E2, E24, E3, E32, J, J2, J22

• Has Exchange Rate Pass-Through Really Declined in Canada?

  Staff Working Paper 2005-29 Hafedh Bouakez, Nooman Rebei

  Several empirical studies suggest that exchange rate pass-through has declined in recent years in industrialized countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models, Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F4