Staff research

• Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies

  Staff Working Paper 2006-22 Anna Piretti, Charles St-Arnaud

  The authors develop a projection model of the euro area and the United Kingdom. The model consists of two country blocks, endogenous to each other via the foreign demand channel.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E1, E17, E3, E37

• The International Monetary Fund's Balance-Sheet and Credit Risk

  Staff Working Paper 2006-21 Ryan Felushko, Eric Santor

  The authors examine the characteristics of International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending from the 1960s to 2005.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3

• Examining the Trade-Off between Settlement Delay and Intraday Liquidity in Canada's LVTS: A Simulation Approach

  Staff Working Paper 2006-20 Neville Arjani

  The author explores a fundamental trade-off that occurs between settlement delay and intraday liquidity in the daily operation of large-value payment systems (LVPS), with specific application to Canada's Large Value Transfer System (LVTS).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E47, G, G2, G21

• Institutional Quality, Trade, and the Changing Distribution of World Income

  Staff Working Paper 2006-19 Brigitte Desroches, Michael Francis

  Conventional wisdom holds that institutional changes and trade liberalization are two main sources of growth in per capita income around the world.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Development economics, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F1, F11, F15, O, O1, O11, P, P4, P48

• Working Time over the 20th Century

  Staff Working Paper 2006-18 Alexander Ueberfeldt

  From 1870 to 2000, the workweek length of employed persons decreased by 41 per cent in industrialized countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Labour markets, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E2, E24, O, O1, O11

• Risk-Cost Frontier and Collateral Valuation in Securities Settlement Systems for Extreme Market Events

  Staff Working Paper 2006-17 Alejandro García, Ramazan Gençay

  The authors examine how the use of extreme value theory yields collateral requirements that are robust to extreme fluctuations in the market price of the asset used as collateral.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C1, G, G0, G1

• Benchmark Index of Risk Appetite

  Staff Working Paper 2006-16 Miroslav Misina

  Changes in investors' risk appetite have been used to explain a variety of phenomena in asset markets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12

• LVTS, the Overnight Market, and Monetary Policy

  Staff Working Paper 2006-15 Nadja Kamhi

  Operational events in the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) almost always result in a disturbance of the regular flow of payments.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy implementation, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E5

• Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion

  Staff Working Paper 2006-14 Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian, Sebastien McMahon

  Fluctuations in the prices of various natural resource products are of concern in both policy and business circles; hence, it is important to develop accurate price forecasts.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E3, E37

• Guarding Against Large Policy Errors under Model Uncertainty

  Staff Working Paper 2006-13 Gino Cateau

  How can policy-makers avoid large policy errors when they are uncertain about the true model of the economy?

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58