August 18, 2011
Publications
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August 18, 2011
Bank Balance Sheets, Deleveraging and the Transmission Mechanism
The author investigates the influence of bank capital on economic activity, using a macroeconomic model that incorporates an explicit role for financial intermediation. The analysis focuses on the role of a “bank-capital channel” in propagating and amplifying monetary policy actions and other shocks. The question of whether weaker bank balance sheets make the economy more vulnerable to adverse shocks is examined, together with the impact of initiatives, such as countercyclical capital buffers, on the transmission of monetary policy and other shocks to the real economy. -
August 18, 2011
Mortgage Debt and Procyclicality in the Housing Market
This article focuses on the role that loans backed by housing collateral play in amplifying housing booms and, more generally, procyclicality in the housing market. The author uses a model developed to include borrower and lender households, as well as a housing market, to examine the impact that altering the loan-to-value ratio (either permanently or countercyclically) might have on the volatility of house prices and mortgage debt. -
August 18, 2011
Developing a Medium-Term Debt-Management Strategy for the Government of Canada
As the Government of Canada’s fiscal agent, the Bank of Canada provides strategic policy advice on the management of the government’s debt, in addition to being responsible for conducting debt-management operations. In this article, the authors review the evolution of the debt strategy over the past 20 years and outline the complex process of developing a sound strategy that balances various cost and risk considerations. This includes an examination of the tools and practices used to develop the new medium-term debt-management strategy, such as the modelling approach involved, market consultations and various debt-management metrics. -
July 20, 2011
Monetary Policy Report – July 2011
The Canadian economy is projected to expand by 2.8 per cent in 2011, 2.6 per cent in 2012, and 2.1 per cent in 2013, returning to capacity in the middle of 2012. Total CPI inflation is expected to return to the 2 per cent target by the middle of 2012.
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July 11, 2011
Senior Loan Officer Survey - Second-Quarter 2011
The survey results point to an overall net easing in business-lending conditions. The balance of opinion regarding both price and non-price lending conditions showed the greatest degree of consensus on easing since the survey began in 1999. -
July 11, 2011
Business Outlook Survey - Summer 2011
Businesses remain positive about the outlook for the next 12 months, despite more modest expectations for U.S. economic growth. Indicators of future sales and investment are moderately higher, and intentions to hire have become more widespread. -
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