April 24, 2023
Publications
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April 12, 2023
Monetary Policy Report – April 2023
Inflation in Canada remains high but should come down quickly to around 3% in the middle of this year because of lower energy prices, improved supply chains and restrictive monetary policy. The Bank projects that inflation will reach the 2% target by the end of 2024.
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April 3, 2023
Business Outlook Survey—First Quarter of 2023
Results from the first-quarter 2023 Business Outlook Survey and the Business Leaders’ Pulse surveys from January through March 2023 show a subdued sales outlook and plans for modest growth in capital expenditures. The labour market remains tight, but pressures have eased from high levels. -
April 3, 2023
Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—First Quarter of 2023
Results in the first quarter of 2023 show that consumer expectations for inflation one to two years ahead fell but remain elevated, particularly for services. Consumers, especially indebted households and equity-deserving groups, are facing financial pressures and limits on their spending due to high inflation and increasing interest rates. Consumers expect to spend less on discretionary services, such as travelling and eating out. Canadians continue to anticipate a recession in the next 12 months. Many are uncertain about where the economy and job markets are going. Despite this, workers still see the labour market as strong and expect wage growth to increase. -
March 22, 2023
Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of March 8, 2023
This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on March 8, 2023. -
February 8, 2023
Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of January 25, 2023
This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on January 25, 2023. -
February 6, 2023
Market Participants Survey—Fourth Quarter of 2022
The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 30 financial market participants. -
January 25, 2023
Monetary Policy Report – January 2023
Inflation in Canada is still too high but has declined from its peak. As the effects of higher interest rates continue to spread through the economy, and with declines in energy prices and improved supply chains, inflation is projected to fall to around 3% in the middle of 2023 and reach the 2% target in 2024.
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January 16, 2023
Business Outlook Survey—Fourth Quarter of 2022
Results from the fourth-quarter 2022 Business Outlook Survey and the Business Leaders’ Pulse surveys from October 2022 through January 2023 show that business sentiment has continued to weaken. As a result of rising interest rates, firms’ sales expectations and investment plans are softening. Capacity pressures have moderated from elevated levels. In this context, firms expect a slower pace of price increases. -
January 16, 2023
Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2022
Results of the fourth-quarter survey show that consumers have reduced their purchases of a broad range of goods and services in response to rising inflation and increases in interest rates. High food prices are a particular source of frustration for households. Most consumers anticipate a mild or moderate recession in the next 12 months. And although labour markets continue to be strong, some early signals suggest consumers think this strength will fade. Meanwhile, short-term inflation expectations remain elevated this quarter, but consumers have varied opinions about where inflation will be in five years. More people than before the pandemic expect deflation.