Responses to the autumn survey suggest that the Canadian economy is recovering, as all indicators of business activity have increased since the summer survey. However, because firms continue to expect activity to pick up only gradually, they remain cautious regarding investment.
The results of the summer survey indicate that businesses foresee an improvement in the economic outlook. In particular, the balances of opinion on both future sales and employment have turned positive. Nevertheless, firms expect their activity to recover only gradually, and they continue to be cautious regarding investment.
Business sentiment remains negative. While some indicators have inched up from historical lows, the results of the spring survey continue to suggest a weak outlook for the Canadian economy.
Business sentiment has deteriorated markedly since the autumn survey, as the effects of the international financial crisis and the weak global economy intensified and spread to domestic demand. Almost all indicators are at their lowest level since the survey began in 1997.
Responses to the autumn survey indicate that the combination of weak U.S. demand, volatile financial markets, and slowing momentum in the West are weighing more heavily on business activity in Canada.