Uncategorized

• How does the Bank of Canada’s balance sheet impact the banking system?

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-12 Daniel Bolduc-Zuluaga, Brad Howell, Grahame Johnson

  We examine how changes in the Bank of Canada’s balance sheet impact the banking system. Quantitative easing contributed to an increase in the size of the banking system’s balance sheet and an improvement in bank liquidity coverage ratios. Quantitative tightening is expected to partially reverse these impacts. The banking system will have to adjust its liquidity management strategy in response.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E51, G, G2, G21, G23, G3, G32

• The Central Bank’s Dilemma: Look Through Supply Shocks or Control Inflation Expectations?

  Staff Working Paper 2022-41 Paul Beaudry, Thomas J. Carter, Amartya Lahiri

  When countries are hit by supply shocks, central banks often face the dilemma of either looking through such shocks or reacting to them to ensure that inflation expectations remain anchored. In this paper, we propose a tractable framework to capture this dilemma and then explore optimal policy under a range of assumptions about how expectations are formed.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications JEL Code(s): E, E1, E12, E2, E24, E3, E31, E5, E52, E58, E6, E65
• September 20, 2022

  Macroeconomics of the 2020s: What we’ve learned, and what’s to come

  Remarks Paul Beaudry University of Waterloo Faculty of Arts Distinguished Lecture in Economics Waterloo, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses the macroeconomic lessons we’ve learned during the COVID-19 pandemic, and what lies ahead to bring inflation back to target.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments

• Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models

  Staff Discussion Paper 2022-19 James Younker

  This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53
• September 20, 2022

  CFIF Meeting (September 20, 2022)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum

• Windfall Income Shocks with Finite Planning Horizons

  Staff Working Paper 2022-40 Michael Boutros

  How do households respond when they receive unanticipated income, such as an inheritance or government stimulus cheque? This paper studies these windfall income shocks through a model of household behaviour that generates a realistic consumption response for households along the entire distribution of wealth.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Economic models, Fiscal policy JEL Code(s): D, D9, D91, E, E2, E21, G, G5, G51
• September 20, 2022

  Anatomy of a pandemic: Applying old lessons and learning from new ones

  Speech summary Paul Beaudry University of Waterloo Faculty of Arts Distinguished Lecture in Economics Waterloo, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry describes how the lessons learned from previous economic crises helped central bankers during the global COVID-19 pandemic. He also talks about how managing inflation expectations can help bring inflation back to target.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments

• House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data

  Staff Working Paper 2022-39 Denis Gorea, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Marianna Kudlyak

  Existing literature documents that house prices respond to monetary policy surprises with a significant delay, taking years to reach their peak response. We present new evidence of a much faster response.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, R, R2, R21, R3, R31
• September 15, 2022

  Debt Management Strategy Consultations – 2023-24

  The Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada are seeking the views of government securities distributors, institutional investors, and other interested parties on issues related to the design and operation of the Government of Canada’s domestic debt program for 2023-24 and beyond.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
• September 13, 2022

  Bank of Canada to delay bond auction in observance of federal Day of Mourning; will support key payment and settlement systems as well as financial markets

  In observance of the federal Day of Mourning to mark the death of Queen Elizabeth II, the Bank of Canada will postpone the auction of 10-year Government of Canada bonds that had been scheduled for Monday, September 19.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government securities auctions, Overnight reverse repo operations, Securities Repo Operations