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June 11, 1998
The outlook for the Canadian economy and monetary policy
In mid-May we published our semi-annual Report on monetary policy, covering data up to April 24th. That means we now have new data available for the last two months. Furthermore, our report also pointed to a much greater-than-usual degree of uncertainty about the outlook for the Canadian economy. -
May 28, 1998
Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance
Mr. Chairman, my colleagues and I are pleased to appear before your committee on a regular basis following the release of the Bank of Canada's Monetary Policy Report. It gives us a chance to discuss with you a range of economic and monetary issues. More generally, our semi-annual Report and sessions such as this one […] -
May 27, 1998
Globalized Financial Markets and Monetary Policy
Globalization - that is, the growing integration and interdependence of national economies - is changing dramatically the economic landscape. Countries are trading more goods and services, an increasing number of firms now operate across national borders, and savers and borrowers have greater access than ever before to global financial markets. -
May 13, 1998
Monetary Policy Report – May 1998
Canada’s inflation-control targets establish a specific medium-term objective for monetary policy. -
May 13, 1998
Release of the Monetary Policy Report
This morning we released our seventh Monetary Policy Report. Since the release of our last Report in November, there have been an unusual number of international and domestic developments which have had important economic and financial consequences. Among the most important events have been the crisis in Asia, declines in commodities prices, and the persistent […] -
May 1, 1998
Information in Financial Asset Prices
Proceedings of a conference held by the Bank of Canada, May 1998 (proceedings volume, available in electronic format only) -
April 23, 1998
Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce
My colleagues and I look forward to our yearly appearance before your committee because it gives us an opportunity to present an account of how the Bank has worked to fulfil its objectives over the past year. It is also an opportunity for a discussion with you on a range of economic and monetary issues. […] -
April 8, 1998
Second Discussion Paper Released on Government of Canada - Debt Auction Process
A second discussion paper outlining proposed changes in the rules for, and the surveillance of, auctions of Government of Canada securities was released for public comment today by the Bank of Canada. -
Predicting Canadian Recessions Using Financial Variables: A Probit Approach
This paper examines the ability of a number of financial variables to predict Canadian recessions. Regarding methodology, we follow closely the technique employed by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who use a probit model to predict U.S. recessions up to eight quarters in advance. Our main finding is that the spread between the yield on Canadian […]