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A Consistent Bootstrap Test for Conditional Density Functions with Time-Dependent Data
This paper describes a new test for evaluating conditional density functions that remains valid when the data are time-dependent and that is therefore applicable to forecasting problems. We show that the test statistic is asymptotically distributed standard normal under the null hypothesis, and diverges to infinity when the null hypothesis is false. -
November 29, 2001
Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce
The Bank has a commitment to contribute to the economic well-being of Canadians. This means that we must conduct monetary policy so that it fosters sustained solid economic growth. -
November 27, 2001
Bank of Canada lowers key policy interest rate by 1/2 percentage point to 2 1/4 per cent
The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate* by one-half of one percentage point to 2 1/4 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is correspondingly lowered, and the Bank Rate is now 2 1/2 per cent. -
November 7, 2001
Monetary Policy Report – November 2001
Two major issues dominate the analysis and policy discussion in this Monetary Policy Report: the nature and extent of the global economic slowdown that began late last year and the consequences of the terrorist attacks in the United States. -
November 7, 2001
Release of the Monetary Policy Report
Since our May 2001 Report, a further weakening of the world economy and the terrorist acts in the United States have forced a reappraisal of global economic prospects. By midsummer, evidence began to accumulate that the economic slowdown, globally and in Canada, would bedeeper and more protracted than previously anticipated. Thus, in late August, the […] -
November 7, 2001
Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance
Right now, all national economies face difficulties - difficulties stemming from the further weakening of the world economy and from the terrorist acts in the United States. As businesses, governments, and individuals in Canada - and around the world - strive to come to terms with the implications of those acts, the main preoccupation is, naturally, with the near term. -
November 1, 2001
Financial Market Structure and Dynamics
Proceedings of a conference held by the Bank of Canada, November 2001 (proceedings volume, available in electronic format only) -
Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to Forecasting Inflation in Canada
This paper evaluates the forecasting performance of factor models for Canadian inflation. This type of model was introduced and examined by Stock and Watson (1999a), who have shown that it is quite promising for forecasting U.S. inflation. -
October 24, 2001
Bank of Canada Governor focuses on current and future economic challenges for Canada
As we all strive to come to terms with this tragedy and its implications, it is understandable that our immediate preoccupation is with near-term issues, he said. Nonetheless, it is "critically important that we maintain a sense of perspective - that we step back and look past current developments, focusing also on the longer-term trends in our economy and its potential."