Uncategorized

• Is This Normal? The Cost of Assuming that Derivatives Have Normal Returns

  Staff Working Paper 2024-46 Radoslav Raykov

  Derivatives exchanges often determine collateral requirements, which are fundamental to market safety, with dated risk models assuming normal returns. However, derivatives returns are heavy-tailed, which leads to the systematic under-collection of collateral (margin). This paper uses extreme value theory (EVT) to evaluate the cost of this margin inadequacy to market participants in the event of default.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G11, G2, G20
• November 26, 2024

  Speech by Rhys Mendes, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada

  On Tuesday, November 26, 2024, Rhys Mendes, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
• November 26, 2024

  Keeping inflation at 2%

  Speech summary Rhys R. Mendes Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island

  In his first public speech as a deputy governor, Rhys Mendes explains why higher interest rates were needed to get inflation back down to the 2% target and why we want it to stay there.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Price stability
• November 26, 2024

  Sticking the landing: Keeping inflation at 2%

  Remarks Rhys R. Mendes Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island

  Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes discusses how monetary policy worked to bring inflation back down to target and why the Bank wants inflation to stay close to 2%.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Price stability
• November 26, 2024

  Bank of Canada Media Interview – CBC Radio

  Rhys Mendes, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, was interviewed on CBC’s radio show Island Morning.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
• November 25, 2024

  Bank of Canada announces finalists for the tenth annual Governor’s Challenge

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada has announced the six finalist teams in the 2024-25 edition of The Governor’s Challenge, a competition where university students simulate the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): The Governor's Challenge

• Preferences, Monetary Policy and Household Inflation

  Staff Working Paper 2024-45 Geoffrey R. Dunbar

  I quantify the importance of changes in household preferences on household inflation rates using 11 years of scanner data for 11,000 US households. My results suggest that changes in household preferences are an important driver of inflation dynamics at the household level.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, E, E5, E52, E58
• November 19, 2024

  CFIF Meeting (November 19, 2024)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum
• November 18, 2024

  CORRA Advisory Group Meeting (November 18, 2024)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): CORRA Advisory Group

• Seasonal Adjustment of Weekly Data

  Staff Discussion Paper 2024-17 Jeffrey Mollins, Rachit Lumb

  The industry standard for seasonally adjusting data, X-13ARIMA-SEATS, is not suitable for high-frequency data. We summarize and assess several of the most popular seasonal adjustment methods for weekly data given the increased availability and promise of non-traditional data at higher frequencies.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C1, C4, C5, C52, C8, E, E0, E01, E2, E21