March 8, 2007
Uncategorized
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Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility
We present a new matrix-logarithm model of the realized covariance matrix of stock returns. The model uses latent factors which are functions of both lagged volatility and returns. -
March 6, 2007
Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 4 1/4 per cent
The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 4 1/4 per cent. -
Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation
This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an effective inflation target of roughly 7 percent in the 1970s. -
World Real Interest Rates: A Global Savings and Investment Perspective
Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This paper explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. -
February 22, 2007
Adjusting to Economic Change
The past five years have indeed been a period of great and relatively rapid economic change, both here in Saskatchewan and across the country. In my remarks today, I'd like to describe this change and discuss its significance to our economic well-being. -
February 20, 2007
Standing Senate Committee on National Finance
The preamble of this bill addresses some very important issues: the need for Canadians to trust in the management of the public purse, and the importance of openness and accountability. I can assure you that the Bank of Canada takes these issues very seriously. -
February 15, 2007
Temporary measures to reinforce the target for the overnight rate
On 9 March 2006, the Bank of Canada announced temporary measures to reinforce its target for the overnight rate. Specifically, the Bank announced that it would reduce the target for settlement balances to zero and, on a temporary basis, no longer commit to neutralizing all of the Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs) conducted. -
Uncollateralized Overnight Loans Settled in LVTS
Loan-level data on the uncollateralized overnight loan market is generated using payment data from Canada's Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) and a modified version of the methodology proposed in Furfine (1999). There were on average just under 100 loans extended in this market each day from March 2004 to March 2006 for a total daily value of about $5 billion. -
February 6, 2007
Promoting Stability, Confidence and Well-being
The strengths of the twin cities - in research, advanced manufacturing, and information technology, among other sectors - are well known. Less well known, perhaps, is the region's success in responding effectively to changes in the world economy.