The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 3/4 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/2 per cent.
Estimating potential output and the output gap - the difference between actual output and its potential - is important for the proper conduct of monetary policy. However, the measurement and interpretation of potential output, and hence the output gap, is fraught with uncertainty, since it is unobservable.
The winter Business Outlook Survey continues to provide signs of strengthening demand, especially among export-oriented firms and manufacturers. However, the outlook for businesses that are linked directly or indirectly to the energy sector has deteriorated.