Uncategorized

• May 16, 2024

  Move to T+1 settlement for Government of Canada securities auctions

  As of 3 June 2024, all Government of Canada auctions of its treasury bills, bonds and Cash Management Bond Buybacks (CMBB) will be subject to T+1 settlement. This move will follow the Canadian secondary market’s own transition to T+1 settlement, expected to occur on Monday, 27 May 2024.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices

• Digital Payments in Firm Networks: Theory of Adoption and Quantum Algorithm

  Staff Working Paper 2024-17 Sofia Priazhkina, Samuel Palmer, Pablo Martín-Ramiro, Román Orús, Samuel Mugel, Vladimir Skavysh

  We build a network formation game of firms with trade flows to study the adoption and usage of a new digital currency as an alternative to correspondent banking.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech, Digitalization, Economic models, Financial institutions, Payment clearing and settlement systems, Sectoral balance sheet JEL Code(s): C, C6, C7, C71, D, D4, D8, D85, G, L, L2, L22

• The Macroeconomic Implications of Coholding

  Staff Working Paper 2024-16 Michael Boutros, Andrej Mijakovic

  Coholder households simultaneously carry high-cost credit card debt and low-yield cash. We study the implications of this behavior for fiscal and monetary policy, finding that coholder households have smaller consumption responses in the short run but larger responses in the long run.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E4, E44, E6, E62, G, G5, G51

• Finding a Needle in a Haystack: A Machine Learning Framework for Anomaly Detection in Payment Systems

  Staff Working Paper 2024-15 Ajit Desai, Anneke Kosse, Jacob Sharples

  Our layered machine learning framework can enhance real-time transaction monitoring in high-value payment systems, which are a central piece of a country’s financial infrastructure. When tested on data from Canadian payment systems, it demonstrated potential for accurately identifying anomalous transactions. This framework could help improve cyber and operational resilience of payment systems.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Digital currencies and fintech, Financial institutions, Financial services, Financial system regulation and policies, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C4, C45, C5, C55, D, D8, D83, E, E4, E42

• Endogenous Credibility and Wage-Price Spirals

  Staff Working Paper 2024-14 Olena Kostyshyna, Tolga Özden, Yang Zhang

  We quantitively assess the risks of a wage-price spiral occurring in Canada over history. We find the risk of a wage-price spiral increases when the inflation expectations become unanchored and the credibility of central banks declines.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credibility, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E0, E00, E4, E47, E7
• May 13, 2024

  CARR publishes illustrative examples on determining fallback rates on floating rate notes that reference CDOR

  CARR is publishing two presentations to clarify how CARR’s recommended fallback rate for floating rate notes that reference CDOR should be implemented for calculating the coupon and accrued interest post June 2024.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
• May 10, 2024

  Financial Post

  

  Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada
  Interview with the Financial Post

  Content Type(s): Press, Media activities

• Parallel Tempering for DSGE Estimation

  Staff Working Paper 2024-13 Joshua Brault

  I develop a population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm known as parallel tempering to estimate dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. Parallel tempering approximates the posterior distribution of interest using a family of Markov chains with tempered posteriors.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C15, E, E1, E10
• May 9, 2024

  Bank of Canada Media Interview – La Presse

  Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, gave an interview to La Presse’s Hélène Baril.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
• May 9, 2024

  Bank of Canada Media Interview – Financial Post

  Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, gave an interview to Barbara Shecter of the Financial Post.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories