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Home Equity Extraction and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Consumption and Residential Investment
The consumption boom-bust cycle in the 2000s coincided with large fluctuations in the volume of home equity borrowing. Contrary to conventional wisdom, I show that homeowners largely borrowed for residential investment and not consumption. -
February 5, 2018
The Government will not proceed with next week’s Ultra-Long bond auction
The Government of Canada announced today that its criteria for ultra-long bond issuance were not met and as a result, the Government will not be issuing ultra-long bonds this quarter. -
Government of Canada Securities in the Cash, Repo and Securities Lending Markets
This paper documents the properties of Government of Canada securities in cash, repo and securities lending transactions over their life cycle. By tracking every security from issuance to maturity, we are able to highlight inter-linkages between the markets for cash and for specific securities. -
What Drives Interbank Loans? Evidence from Canada
We identify the drivers of unsecured and collateralized loan volumes, rates and haircuts in Canada using the Bayesian model averaging approach to deal with model uncertainty. Our results suggest that the key friction driving behaviour in this market is the collateral reallocation cost faced by borrowers. -
January 31, 2018
Research Update - January 2018
This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. -
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A Calibrated Model of Intraday Settlement
This paper estimates potential exposures, netting benefits and settlement gains by merging retail and wholesale payments into batches and conducting multiple intraday settlements in this hypothetical model of a single "calibrated payments system." The results demonstrate that credit risk exposures faced by participants in the system are largely dependent on their relative activity in the retail and wholesale payments systems. -
Non-linéarité de la courbe de Phillips : un survol de la littérature
The paper reviews evidence from the economic literature on the nature of the relationship between excess capacity and inflation, better known as the Phillips curve. In particular, we examine the linearity of this relationship. This is an important issue in the current economic context in which advanced economies are approaching or exceed their potential output. -
January 23, 2018
Overview of the Net Stable Funding Ratio - January 23, 2018
Presentation for the January 23, 2018 meeting of the Canadian Fixed-Income Forum.